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Jets at Avalanche
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cale Makar's goal at 15:03 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were WPG 27, COL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.2 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Valeri Nichushkin (3 G), 2. Artturi Lehkonen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cale Makar (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    V. Nichushkin3 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    A. Lehkonen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1907011127
COLCOL11331715535

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    A. Lehkonen(4)
    C. Mittelstadt (4)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:10
  2. WPG
    N. Schmidt(1)
    M. Appleton (2), L. Stanley (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:56

2nd period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(4)PPG
    C. Makar (6), N. MacKinnon (4)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:36
  2. COL
    C. Makar(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:03
  3. COL
    V. Nichushkin(5)PPG
    A. Lehkonen (3), N. MacKinnon (5)
    wristxG 0.48win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-4
    19:36

3rd period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(6)EN
    M. Rantanen (6)
    wristxG 0.41Video
    1-5
    19:47

Penalties

WPG 8 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 13:56COLserved by R. Colton · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

2nd

  • 2:27WPGLogan Stanley · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 5:38WPGLogan Stanley · Interferencedrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
  • 6:31COLNathan MacKinnon · Interferencedrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 11:22WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 19:00WPGNino Niederreiter · Roughingdrawn by Sean Walker2 min

3rd

  • 8:05COLArtturi Lehkonen · Hookingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 13:09COLJack Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalWPG goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Cale Makar, 2nd 15:03 — COL 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.48V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.41A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.28Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.27M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.14B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.12J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.12V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.10Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.09C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.07C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.03C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.02C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.01C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 3.5 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCOL
1.91 G
All situations
4 G3.5
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.60 G
Power play
2 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG31%69%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 2.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCOL
27
Shots on goal
35
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/4
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
33
Hits
32
14
Blocked shots
19
4
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000010.06010—26:24
4N. PionkD000020.04310—22:32
81K. ConnorL000040.26100—22:23
55M. ScheifeleC000-210.072004822:02
2D. DeMeloD000020.02110—21:20
27N. EhlersL000030.45510—18:40
54D. SambergD000-110.00210—18:25
23S. MonahanC000-140.181104517:58
73T. ToffoliC000-100.0410010016:31
88N. SchmidtD101-210.14140—15:30
62N. NiederreiterR000-120.223025014:44
13G. VilardiC000-110.19110014:35
17A. LowryC000+100.005005814:08
22M. AppletonC011010.01100013:28
9A. IafalloL000-110.01110—12:00
7V. NamestnikovC000-110.141223310:05
64L. StanleyD011020.07304—09:33
71A. Jonsson-FjallbyL000-100.03100—06:52
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)30264.8672.84-1.1640:00
39L. Brossoit4401.0000.22+0.2218:00

Series

COL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).