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Avalanche at Jets
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
Winnipeg Jets
2
FinalTV ESPN, ALT·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-2. The Jets scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Parise's goal at 17:20 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.9 to 2.7; shots on goal were COL 32, WPG 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 27 of 31 (.871). Three stars: 1. Artturi Lehkonen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mark Scheifele (1 G), 3. Josh Manson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    A. Lehkonen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    J. Manson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL01541413532
WPGWPG11211008230

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    D. Gustafsson(1)
    B. Dillon (3), N. Pionk (1)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:15

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Wood(2)
    R. Colton (2)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:59
  2. WPG
    M. Scheifele(2)
    G. Vilardi (3), K. Connor (2)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:37
  3. COL
    A. Lehkonen(2)
    C. Makar (3), D. Toews (1)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:16
  4. COL
    Z. Parise(1)
    A. Cogliano (1)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-2
    17:20
  5. COL
    J. Manson(1)
    N. MacKinnon (2), A. Lehkonen (2)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:53

3rd period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(2)EN
    C. Makar (4), M. Rantanen (3)
    backhandxG 0.39Video
    5-2
    19:03

Penalties

COL 10 PIM·WPG 10 PIM

1st

  • 8:34COLRoss Colton · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Connor Hellebuyck2 min
  • 12:56COLCaleb Jones · Trippingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 14:23WPGNino Niederreiter · Hookingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min

2nd

  • 4:05WPGKyle Connor · High sticking double minordrawn by Cale Makar4 min
  • 17:48COLJosh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 17:48WPGGabriel Vilardi · Roughingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min

3rd

  • 8:54WPGLogan Stanley · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 8:54COLBrandon Duhaime · Roughingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min
  • 12:25COLBrandon Duhaime · Interferencedrawn by David Gustafsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCOL goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Zach Parise, 2nd 17:20 — COL 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.28G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.27S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.24V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.21N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.18D. Gustafsson · Goal · xG 0.13N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.10S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.10D. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.10N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.10S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.09A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.02D. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.00N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.00N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG2 G · 2.7 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsWPG
3.94 G
All situations
2 G2.7
2.84 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL63%37%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.41 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsWPG
32
Shots on goal
30
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
10
45
Hits
44
16
Blocked shots
20
7
Giveaways
3
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD022020.15040—27:12
7D. ToewsD011+300.00320—26:48
13V. NichushkinR101+151.09220—23:37
29N. MacKinnonC011+320.051103522:59
96M. RantanenR011+220.175105721:32
42J. MansonD101+430.16622—20:25
62A. LehkonenL112+240.46410—20:23
26S. WalkerD000-210.00200—16:48
3J. JohnsonD000+210.04000—14:57
37C. MittelstadtC000020.172004414:43
28M. WoodL101020.28300—13:03
20R. ColtonC011020.305127012:39
9Z. PariseL101030.76000—10:46
94J. KivirantaL000+130.23410—10:31
82C. JonesD000000.00112—09:52
73Y. TreninC000000.023004408:35
11A. CoglianoC011000.00000007:55
12B. DuhaimeL000-100.06404—07:15
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)30282.9332.71+0.7160:00

Series

COL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).