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Capitals at Maple Leafs
NHL

Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
1
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸5
FinalTV MNMT, SN1·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Washington Capitals 5-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Dewar's goal at 11:38 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were WSH 24, TOR 48. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 43 of 48 (.896), 1.1 goals below expected; Joseph Woll stopped 23 of 24 (.958). Three stars: 1. Tyler Bertuzzi (2 G), 2. Bobby McMann (1 G), 3. Mark Giordano (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    T. Bertuzzi2 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    B. McMann1 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Giordano1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0811006124
TORTOR119214215548

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Giordano(2)
    M. Knies (18)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:09

2nd period

  1. TOR
    T. Bertuzzi(17)
    T. Brodie (21), A. Matthews (35)
    deflectedxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    0:18
  2. WSH
    N. Dowd(10)
    N. Jensen (12), H. Lapierre (10)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:27
  3. TOR
    C. Dewar(11)
    R. Reaves (2), D. Kampf (9)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:38

3rd period

  1. TOR
    B. McMann(14)
    J. Tavares (34), S. Benoit (4)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    1:06
  2. TOR
    T. Bertuzzi(18)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.21win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    10:11

Penalties

WSH 2 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:30TORMark Giordano · Roughingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 7:21WSHNic Dowd · Trippingdrawn by Simon Benoit2 min

2nd

  • 6:05TORJohn Tavares · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Miroshnichenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalWSH goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Connor Dewar, 2nd 11:38 — TOR 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.21T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.20B. McMann · Goal · xG 0.19N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.19B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.19B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.18C. Dewar · Goal · xG 0.18N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.17A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.16T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.15M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.14A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.14W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.13D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.13A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.10B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.09W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.07W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.07M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.05M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.04J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.04C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.04T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.03T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · Goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.03T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.02B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.02J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.01J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.01N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.01C. Timmins · Missed · xG 0.01J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.01C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.00C. Timmins · Missed · xG 0.00T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.00B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.00N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.00B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.00I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.00T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR5 G · 4.0 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsTOR
1.51 G
All situations
5 G4.0
1.31 G
Even strength
5 G3.4
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH14%86%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.46 – 3.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsTOR
24
Shots on goal
48
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
32
Hits
43
13
Blocked shots
19
3
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-140.11210—23:45
38R. SandinD000-110.03110—22:21
42M. FehérváryD000-300.00310—19:41
3N. JensenD011-120.24010—18:57
57T. van RiemsdykD000-130.03030—18:31
8A. OvechkinL000-120.07300—18:27
17D. StromeC000-200.000104417:17
67M. PaciorettyL000-330.11110—16:59
24C. McMichaelL000-210.062002115:57
63I. MiroshnichenkoL000-310.52800—15:56
21A. ProtasL000000.00100—15:54
29H. LapierreC011+130.101103315:52
77T. OshieR000-100.06110—15:36
26N. DowdC101-110.051124213:39
27A. AlexeyevD000-110.00100—13:10
47B. MalenstynL000010.00010—12:42
96N. Aube-KubelR000010.08600—12:13
23M. SgarbossaC000000.001005711:03
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(L)48435.8963.95-1.0560:00

Season series

TOR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).