Skip to content

Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers

Final/OTTV NBCSP, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-5 in overtime, Adam Fox scoring at 0:36. The Rangers came back from two goals down. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Fox's goal at 0:36 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were PHI 42, NYR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 21 of 27 (.778), 3.9 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 37 of 42 (.881), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Fox (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alexis Lafrenière (2 G), 3. Mika Zibanejad (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Fox1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Lafrenière2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI01521231500542
NYRNYR09194811627

Scoring

11 goals

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:58
  2. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    11:39
  3. NYR
    A. Panarin (57), A. Fox (48)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:28

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.14win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:23
  2. NYR
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.37win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:57
  3. PHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-3
    6:45
  4. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +33 ptsVideo
    3-4
    9:34
  5. PHI
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +32 ptsVideo
    4-4
    11:45
  6. NYR
    wristxG 0.08win prob +36 ptsVideo
    4-5
    13:59
  7. PHI
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.68win prob +40 ptsVideo
    5-5
    16:29

Overtime

  1. NYR
    A. Fox(15)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +49 ptsVideo
    5-6
    0:36

Penalties

PHI 2 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 17:42NYRAdam Fox · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Foerster2 min

2nd

  • 10:06NYRVincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Foerster2 min
  • 14:40PHITyson Foerster · High stickingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

3rd

  • 8:38NYRZac Jones · High stickingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalPHI goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Fox, OT 0:36 — NYR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.37J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.24A. Fox · Goal · xG 0.14J. Brodzinski · Goal · xG 0.14V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.13A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.10J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.08A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.08J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.03A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR6 G · 2.1 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNYR
3.35 G
All situations
6 G2.1
3.14 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI69%31%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.20 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNYR
42
Shots on goal
27
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
23
13
Blocked shots
17
2
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. YorkD000070.29220—27:21
6T. SanheimD011010.03030—25:53
25R. PoehlingC101-130.251004320:10
5E. ZamulaD011-130.26000—19:31
11T. KonecnyR112030.192305018:59
48M. FrostC011-130.260005317:44
71T. FoersterR101020.84102—17:34
77E. JohnsonD000-110.02210—17:33
74O. TippettR101+140.19110—17:28
86J. FarabeeL000-110.13100—15:43
19G. HathawayR000030.213105015:38
10B. BrinkR000-120.22100—14:58
21S. LaughtonC112+130.110004513:18
50A. GinningD000+110.02010—12:44
27N. CatesL000-110.04110—12:04
23R. AttardD000+120.02100—12:04
14S. CouturierC000000.010004011:46
62O. LycksellR000020.19000—10:32
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(O)27216.7782.15-3.8560:36

Season series

NYR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).