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Red Wings at Penguins
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV NHLN, BSDET·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Detroit Red Wings 6-3. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sidney Crosby's goal at 18:53 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 53% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 5.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were DET 28, PIT 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 1.6 goals below expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 2. Lucas Raymond (2 G), 3. Valtteri Puustinen (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    L. Raymond2 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    V. Puustinen1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET14112112328
PITPIT315211112638

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:10
  2. DET
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:39
  3. PIT
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:53
  4. PIT
    R. Smith (21), L. Eller (12)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:16

2nd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.36win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-4
    9:34
  2. DET
    wristxG 0.25win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-4
    17:35
  3. PIT
    L. Eller(14)PPG
    S. Crosby (35), K. Letang (32)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-5
    19:39

3rd period

  1. DET
    L. Raymond(22)PPG
    wristxG 0.10Video
    3-5
    16:37
  2. PIT
    B. Rust (20), R. Graves (11)
    wristxG 0.42Video
    3-6
    19:34

Penalties

DET 8 PIM·PIT 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:44DETAustin Czarnik · Holdingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 8:09DETAndrew Copp · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

2nd

  • 14:32PITDrew O'Connor · Hookingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 19:01DETMichael Rasmussen · Cross checkingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min

3rd

  • 9:12DETLucas Raymond · Slashingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 15:21PITDrew O'Connor · Trippingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalDET goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Sidney Crosby, 1st 18:53 — PIT 53% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.55D. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.42L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.41M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.36N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.33L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.32R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.29E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.25E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.15R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.13N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.13R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.11D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.10B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.10V. Puustinen · Goal · xG 0.10M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.10S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.09L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.09R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.07K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.07M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.06N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.05S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.05K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bemstrom · Missed · xG 0.04E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.04D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ludvig · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ludvig · Missed · xG 0.01J. Ludvig · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ludvig · Missed · xG 0.01V. Puustinen · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.00R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT6 G · 5.1 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsPIT
2.43 G
All situations
5 G5.1
1.92 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET33%67%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 3.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsPIT
28
Shots on goal
38
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
18
5
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
96J. WalmanD000-310.03020—22:07
8B. ChiarotD011+220.03120—21:28
46J. PetryD011+120.17220—20:49
37J. CompherL000-310.201103620:27
23L. RaymondL202+130.5901210020:14
53M. SeiderD000-220.02520—19:18
41S. GostisbehereD011-200.00120—18:16
57D. PerronL011+160.23300—18:09
88P. KaneR011-230.33000—17:55
90J. VelenoC000000.061004717:06
93A. DeBrincatR000-330.09100—15:26
14R. FabbriC000010.121108315:13
18A. CoppC000-210.062026313:40
2O. MaattaD000-200.00120—13:39
36C. FischerR101-120.36110—12:36
27M. RasmussenC011-110.04002011:40
17D. SprongR000000.00000—10:03
21A. CzarnikC000000.030022008:48
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(L)37325.8653.36-1.6456:28

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).