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Utah Mammoth at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, SCRIPPS·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Utah Mammoth 5-3. The Coyotes scored first; the Flyers answered. The Coyotes led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Scott Laughton's goal at 10:21 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were ARI 23, PHI 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.2 goals below expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Scott Laughton (1 G, 1 A), 2. Morgan Frost (1 G), 3. Travis Konecny (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    S. Laughton1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    M. Frost1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI1721006323
PHIPHI07214313534

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    16:26

2nd period

  1. PHI
    M. Frost(9)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.28win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:23
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.19win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:57
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:55
  4. ARI
    J. Zucker (14), J. Moser (17)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:02

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-3
    6:12
  2. PHI
    wrap-aroundxG 0.11win prob +32 ptsVideo
    3-4
    10:21
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.64win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-5
    18:39

Penalties

ARI 14 PIM·PHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:54PHIOlle Lycksell · Interferencedrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
  • 4:55PHIGarnet Hathaway · Trippingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min
  • 7:47ARITravis Dermott · Holdingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min

2nd

  • 4:23ARIMichael Kesselring · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Morgan Frost0 min
  • 5:54ARISean Durzi · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min
  • 5:56PHITravis Sanheim · High stickingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 8:41PHICam York · Cross checkingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 9:02ARIJason Zucker · Interferencedrawn by Sean Walker2 min
  • 15:55ARIJack McBain · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min
  • 19:17ARINick Bjugstad · Trippingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min

3rd

  • 2:16ARISean Durzi · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:21ARIMathew Dumba · High stickingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalARI goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Scott Laughton, 3rd 10:21 — PHI 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.64M. Frost · Goal · xG 0.28O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.19J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.18T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.16O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.14M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.12J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.11M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.11S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.11O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.10J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.09M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.09T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.09N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.08O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.08T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.07C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.06N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.05M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.05T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drysdale · Goal · xG 0.04J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.04C. York · On goal · xG 0.03R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.03C. York · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.03S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.02O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02E. Zamula · Missed · xG 0.02C. York · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.02G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · Missed · xG 0.01R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.00T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI5 G · 3.5 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsPHI
2.23 G
All situations
4 G3.5
1.63 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI38%62%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.13 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsPHI
23
Shots on goal
34
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/4
Power play
0/7
14
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
20
15
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
3
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
90J. MoserD022+110.02230—22:57
50S. DurziD000-120.09134—21:22
24M. DumbaD101-130.07232—20:05
4J. VälimäkiD000010.03000—19:36
67L. CrouseL000-330.19010—19:21
8N. SchmaltzC000030.140004516:51
15A. KerfootC101+110.242206016:36
5M. KesselringD011+200.03120—16:31
17N. BjugstadC000010.032022416:26
9C. KellerR011010.27000—16:01
22J. McBainC000000.005023315:41
63M. MaccelliL101-120.32100—15:19
33T. DermottD011-100.07012—14:42
11D. GuentherR000-110.18100—13:34
16J. ZuckerL011+110.26202—12:29
29B. HaytonC000-120.100005610:40
92L. CooleyC000-210.120005009:33
83A. RuzickaC000+100.001005009:20
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)33294.8792.84-1.1658:56

Season series

PHI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).