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Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins

FinalTV TNT, MAX·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Boston Bruins 3-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Martinook's goal at 17:33 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 94%. Expected goals were close — CAR 2.7, BOS 2.8; shots on goal were CAR 33, BOS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Spencer Martin stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Brad Marchand (2 G), 2. Jordan Martinook (1 G), 3. Trent Frederic (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    B. Marchand2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Martinook1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    T. Frederic2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR110113110333
BOSBOS0807213228

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(12)PPG
    B. Skjei (19), J. Drury (13)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    18:04

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis (20), S. Aho (36)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    11:50

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:30
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.30win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:20
  3. CAR
    wristxG 0.14win prob +45 ptsVideo
    3-2
    17:33

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·BOS 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:01CARJalen Chatfield · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Geekie2 min
  • 16:32BOSBrandon Carlo · Holding the stickdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 19:33BOSBrad Marchand · Hookingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min

2nd

  • 0:47CARStefan Noesen · Trippingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min
  • 10:11BOSMorgan Geekie · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 14:51CARBrendan Lemieux · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min

3rd

  • 13:29CARDmitry Orlov · Holdingdrawn by Oskar Steen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalCAR goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Martinook, 3rd 17:33 — CAR 48% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.30D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.19T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.18J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.18J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.17C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.15B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.15B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.12D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.12C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.11J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.11D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.10C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.10D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.09O. Steen · On goal · xG 0.07P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.07P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.05J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.03O. Steen · On goal · xG 0.03D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.02T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.00D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS2 G · 2.8 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsBOS
2.73 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.42 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR49%51%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsBOS
33
Shots on goal
28
48%
Faceoffs
52%
2/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
32
Hits
31
7
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD000020.09200—23:04
74J. SlavinD000000.00220—22:56
76B. SkjeiD011-120.28500—21:07
22B. PesceD000-100.00110—20:25
24S. JarvisR011-110.15000—19:16
88M. NecasC101090.24200018:58
18J. DruryC011020.180006717:17
20S. AhoC022000.003002217:02
11J. StaalC000-110.144006116:16
7D. OrlovD000020.02002—15:00
58M. BuntingL000-100.10100—14:14
86T. TeravainenC112030.34000014:11
5J. ChatfieldD000000.01002—14:09
23S. NoesenR000050.5611210014:05
48J. MartinookL101020.35300—12:31
71J. FastR000000.00520—11:21
28B. LemieuxL000020.09202—10:36
82J. KotkaniemiC000020.111105009:32
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Martin(W)28262.9292.77+0.7760:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).