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Hurricanes at Red Wings
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸2
Detroit Red Wings
1
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Staal's goal at 11:49 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were CAR 39, DET 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Ville Husso stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Staal (1 G), 2. Michael Rasmussen (1 G), 3. Jack Drury (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    M. Rasmussen1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Drury1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR110115014239
DETDET0811107126

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Drury(4)
    S. Noesen (9), M. Necas (13)
    tip-inxG 0.20win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:48

2nd period

  1. DET
    M. Rasmussen(7)
    A. Copp (9), J. Berggren (2)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:20
  2. CAR
    J. Staal(4)
    J. Fast (5), B. Pesce (3)
    pokexG 0.10win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:49

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·DET 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:26DETAlex DeBrincat · High stickingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min
  • 18:42CARStefan Noesen · Interferencedrawn by Moritz Seider2 min

2nd

  • 0:59DETMichael Rasmussen · High stickingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min
  • 18:39CARBrett Pesce · Holdingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min

3rd

  • 12:27DETAustin Czarnik · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:16CARMartin Necas · Hookingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 17:07DETAndrew Copp · Trippingdrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCAR goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Staal, 2nd 11:49 — CAR 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.27R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.20A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.19J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.11L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.09J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.06L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rasmussen · Goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · Missed · xG 0.00A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.00L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 1.6 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsDET
3.32 G
All situations
1 G1.6
2.52 G
Even strength
1 G0.7
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR78%22%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.27 – 1.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsDET
39
Shots on goal
26
67%
Faceoffs
33%
0/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
10
Hits
16
14
Blocked shots
19
4
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000030.04060—23:12
24S. JarvisR000071.092003320:57
88M. NecasC011030.21012020:40
8B. BurnsD000+140.13020—19:55
76B. SkjeiD000+230.10200—19:50
20S. AhoC000030.321006219:20
86T. TeravainenC000-120.1500010018:20
22B. PesceD011010.03002—18:15
23S. NoesenR011+140.2720210016:38
48J. MartinookL000+110.0410010015:34
11J. StaalC101+110.100008114:48
82J. KotkaniemiC000-130.331107014:05
71J. FastR011+100.02010—13:08
5J. ChatfieldD000-100.01030—12:49
58M. BuntingL000000.10000—12:44
7D. OrlovD000020.04000—12:36
18J. DruryC101+120.321005010:56
77T. DeAngeloD000000.00000—10:13
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(W)26251.9621.64+0.6460:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).