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St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, BSMW·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the St. Louis Blues 5-1. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Eklund's goal at 0:17 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 69% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.4 to 2.4; shots on goal were STL 45, SJS 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 13 of 14 (.929); Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 44 of 45 (.978), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kaapo Kahkonen (44 saves, .978), 2. Mike Hoffman (2 G), 3. Givani Smith (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    K. Kahkonen44 saves, .978
  2. ★★
    SJS
    M. Hoffman2 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    G. Smith1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL011016118145
SJSSJS11541208535

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:02

2nd period

  1. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    0:17
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.10win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    2:39
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.13win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    3:25
  4. SJS
    wristxG 0.12win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-5
    13:45

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.22Video
    1-5
    13:55

Penalties

STL 2 PIM·SJS 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:17SJSKyle Burroughs · Cross checkingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

2nd

  • 7:24SJSMario Ferraro · High stickingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 15:23STLJakub Vrana · Trippingdrawn by Jan Rutta2 min
  • 18:42SJSNico Sturm · Trippingdrawn by Alexey Toropchenko2 min

3rd

  • 16:59SJSMike Hoffman · Trippingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalSTL goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: William Eklund, 2nd 0:17 — SJS 69% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.44W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.20M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.14L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.13W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.12M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.12T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.11A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.10G. Smith · Goal · xG 0.10G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09D. Gushchin · Missed · xG 0.07R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.07N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.07F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.06L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.05C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.05T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.04W. Eklund · Goal · xG 0.04N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.03C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.02N. Okhotiuk · Missed · xG 0.02M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.02N. Okhotiuk · Missed · xG 0.02D. Gushchin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.01K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.01T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.01W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.01C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.01K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.01G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.01N. Okhotiuk · On goal · xG 0.00M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.00F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS5 G · 2.4 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsSJS
3.41 G
All situations
5 G2.4
2.31 G
Even strength
5 G2.3
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL66%34%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.34 – 2.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsSJS
45
Shots on goal
35
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
9
Hits
14
7
Blocked shots
21
5
Giveaways
7
10
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47T. KrugD000-160.37110—22:17
72J. FaulkD011-130.17030—21:59
55C. ParaykoD000-120.04000—21:42
4N. LeddyD000-120.05010—21:26
89P. BuchnevichL101080.69000—20:56
18R. ThomasC011010.210104720:35
25J. KyrouR000-120.08200—19:23
10B. SchennC000-130.210005018:55
42K. KapanenR000040.50200—17:58
48S. PerunovichD000-220.03000—15:42
20B. SaadL000-110.14000—14:10
15J. VranaL000-140.44002—12:50
12K. HayesR000-130.110006412:33
70O. SundqvistC000-230.230004212:26
63J. NeighboursL000-210.09010—12:13
6M. ScandellaD000-200.00000—12:09
79S. BlaisL000-200.00400—11:12
13A. ToropchenkoR000-100.00000—10:04
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington14131.9290.89-0.1136:35
30J. Hofer(L)21174.8101.50-2.5022:55

Season series

SJS leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).