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Predators at Kraken
NHL

Nashville Predators at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
Seattle Kraken
▸4
FinalTV ROOT-NW, BSSO·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Nashville Predators 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Kraken led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brian Dumoulin's goal at 16:58 of the second period, which took the Kraken's chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were NSH 34, SEA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 2.2 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Philipp Grubauer (32 saves, .941), 2. Jared McCann (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brian Dumoulin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    P. Grubauer32 saves, .941
  2. ★★
    SEA
    J. McCann1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    B. Dumoulin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH11111409234
SEASEA210111110431

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    T. Novak(5)PPG
    C. Sissons (1), L. Evangelista (5)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:35
  2. SEA
    O. Bjorkstrand(3)PPG
    J. Schultz (2), J. McCann (3)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:21
  3. SEA
    J. McCann(6)
    Y. Gourde (2)
    slapxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:41

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(2)PPG
    T. Barrie (5), F. Forsberg (8)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:34
  2. SEA
    B. Dumoulin(2)
    J. Schultz (3), T. Kartye (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:58

3rd period

  1. SEA
    V. Dunn(2)
    J. Schwartz (5), A. Wennberg (3)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-4
    8:38

Penalties

NSH 10 PIM·SEA 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:07SEAEeli Tolvanen · Trippingdrawn by Liam Foudy2 min
  • 2:36SEAAdam Larsson · High sticking double minordrawn by Gustav Nyquist4 min
  • 4:13NSHColton Sissons · Trippingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min
  • 10:33NSHDante Fabbro · Interferencedrawn by Matty Beniers2 min
  • 13:50NSHDante Fabbro · Slashingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min

2nd

  • 14:53SEAWill Borgen · Holdingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 17:50SEAPhilipp Grubauer · Trippingdrawn by Liam Foudy2 min

3rd

  • 9:47NSHRyan McDonagh · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min
  • 15:44NSHTyson Barrie · Trippingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalNSH goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Brian Dumoulin, 2nd 16:58 — SEA 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.20J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.12E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.12J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.10E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.09O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.09D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.08V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.07E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.07M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.07M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.07A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.06J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.06V. Dunn · Goal · xG 0.05Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · Goal · xG 0.04A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · Goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.00T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA4 G · 1.8 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsSEA
2.92 G
All situations
4 G1.8
1.20 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
1.72 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH68%32%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.86 – 1.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsSEA
34
Shots on goal
31
57%
Faceoffs
43%
2/5
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
26
Hits
20
20
Blocked shots
13
1
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD101-140.31110—27:33
90R. O'ReillyC000-100.070005320:17
22T. BarrieD011-130.15322—20:11
9F. ForsbergL011-250.53010—18:56
27R. McDonaghD000-100.02232—18:18
10C. SissonsC011-210.231125518:04
45A. CarrierD000-100.00050—17:33
82T. NovakC101050.580004017:11
3J. LauzonD000-130.15320—17:06
75J. ParssinenC000-130.373008817:04
57D. FabbroD000-120.03044—16:22
14G. NyquistR000020.24100—14:43
13Y. TreninC000-110.02300014:20
77L. EvangelistaR011020.07100—14:06
36C. SmithR000-100.0041010011:49
44K. SherwoodL000010.03300—11:47
11S. FagemoL000020.04100—08:44
18L. FoudyC000-100.06000008:33
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)31274.8711.84-2.1657:52

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).