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New York Islanders at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NESN, MSGSN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the New York Islanders 6-2. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Foligno's goal at 9:15 of the first period, which took the Bruins' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were NYI 28, BOS 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 21 of 27 (.778), 3.4 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Trent Frederic (2 G), 2. Nick Foligno (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jake DeBrusk (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    T. Frederic2 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    N. Foligno1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    J. DeBrusk1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI06112110228
BOSBOS3123609627

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    J. DeBrusk(17)PPG
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    2:19
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:15
  3. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    17:19

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee (19), N. Dobson (24)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    6:46
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.20win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    8:17
  3. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    11:30
  4. BOS
    wristxG 0.06win prob +1 pts
    1-6
    18:31

3rd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.16
    2-6
    13:42

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·BOS 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:40NYICasey Cizikas · Hookingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 12:02NYISebastian Aho · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

2nd

  • 2:14BOSDerek Forbort · Holdingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 7:42NYIScott Mayfield · Hookingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
  • 7:46BOSBrad Marchand · High stickingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalNYI goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Foligno, 1st 9:15 — BOS 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.20J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.18D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.17C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.16J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.16J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.15D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.11C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.11C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.10T. Frederic · Goal · xG 0.09T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.08P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.08T. Frederic · Goal · xG 0.08P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.07N. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.07C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.07D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.06B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.06P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.06D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.05H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.05M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.02D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS6 G · 2.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsBOS
2.12 G
All situations
6 G2.6
2.12 G
Even strength
5 G2.2
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI41%59%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsBOS
28
Shots on goal
27
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
35
Hits
21
10
Blocked shots
12
6
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3A. PelechD000020.12410—20:28
28A. RomanovD000-210.05310—20:23
24S. MayfieldD000-210.05102—20:16
8N. DobsonD011020.02110—19:42
14B. HorvatC000-110.111203619:28
6R. PulockD011-120.12100—19:19
53C. CizikasC000-120.184027018:45
25S. AhoD000-100.01012—18:33
21K. PalmieriC101+150.25100017:41
29B. NelsonC000-110.080003617:40
27A. LeeL011040.51220—17:19
20H. FaschingR000-220.13000—17:13
17M. MartinL101-120.29510—16:49
11Z. PariseL000-220.15100—13:37
32R. JohnstonL000000.00500—13:28
10S. HolmstromR000000.00110—12:37
18A. AndreoffC011-110.035006710:31
13M. BarzalC000000.00000001:32
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(L)27216.7782.63-3.3760:00

Season series

BOS leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).