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Los Angeles Kings at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV BSW, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Ottawa Senators 5-2. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikey Anderson's goal at 2:15 of the first period, which took the Kings' chances from 58% to 72%. Expected goals were close — LAK 2.3, OTT 2.5; shots on goal were LAK 28, OTT 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Pheonix Copley stopped 31 of 33 (.939); Cam Talbot stopped 9 of 14 (.643), 4.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Viktor Arvidsson (2 G), 2. Anze Kopitar (3 A), 3. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    V. Arvidsson2 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar3 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    K. Fiala1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK41117010528
OTTOTT11208113233

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    S. Durzi (13), A. Kopitar (15)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:35
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    2:15
  3. OTT
    wristxG 0.23win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    5:14
  4. LAK
    T. Moore (11), S. Durzi (14)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    3-1
    8:43
  5. LAK
    K. Fiala (21), A. Kopitar (16)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    4-1
    11:26

2nd period

  1. LAK
    K. Fiala(9)PPG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +4 pts
    5-1
    12:55

3rd period

  1. OTT
    T. Chabot(5)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    9:34

Penalties

LAK 8 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:21LAKMatt Roy · Slashingdrawn by Jake Sanderson2 min
  • 8:06OTTTim Stützle · Trippingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min

2nd

  • 10:22LAKAlex Iafallo · Hookingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 11:04OTTDrake Batherson · Hookingdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min

3rd

  • 4:31OTTErik Brannstrom · Holdingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 8:28LAKAlexander Edler · Slashingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 16:28LAKGabriel Vilardi · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalLAK goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Mikey Anderson, 1st 2:15 — LAK 58% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.23S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.18C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.17M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.17D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.15T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.09M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.09D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.09T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.08T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.07C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.05T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.05T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.05T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.05C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.05T. Chabot · Goal · xG 0.05E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.01D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.00A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 2.5 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsOTT
2.35 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.83 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.62 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK48%52%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 2.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsOTT
28
Shots on goal
33
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
31
21
Blocked shots
17
14
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011+120.03350—25:59
44M. AndersonD101+210.07110—24:08
50S. DurziD022+100.00130—21:26
11A. KopitarC033+210.020105319:23
3M. RoyD101+230.29042—18:04
22K. FialaL112+210.28000—17:54
24P. DanaultC000020.371105317:12
9A. KempeR000020.090103316:26
12T. MooreL011060.35000—16:19
33V. ArvidssonL202+140.51000—15:41
34A. KaliyevR000+110.03200—15:34
13G. VilardiC000000.001122514:30
2A. EdlerD000000.00012—14:29
26S. WalkerD000020.10020—12:59
19A. IafalloL011+100.00002—12:34
91C. GrundstromR000+100.00400—10:42
46B. LizotteC011+120.061102510:29
28J. Anderson-DolanC000010.142005010:12
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29P. Copley(W)33312.9392.45+0.4559:58

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).