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Florida Panthers at Seattle Kraken

FinalTV BSFLX, ROOT-NW·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Seattle Kraken 5-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 5:51 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.9, SEA 2.8; shots on goal were FLA 28, SEA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Verhaeghe (2 G), 2. Sam Bennett (3 A), 3. Spencer Knight (35 saves, .972).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett3 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Knight35 saves, .972

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA21612210528
SEASEA01511308136

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:00
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    13:26

2nd period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.19win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    1:53
  2. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(12)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    5:51

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.38win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    7:49
  2. FLA
    slapxG 0.04
    5-1
    13:03

Penalties

FLA 6 PIM·SEA 10 PIM

1st

  • 13:00SEAserved by D. Sprong · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 17:37SEAAdam Larsson · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min

2nd

  • 5:24SEAVince Dunn · Slashingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 5:24FLACarter Verhaeghe · Roughingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 5:24SEAVince Dunn · Roughingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 6:29FLARyan Lomberg · Trippingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min

3rd

  • 11:46SEAAdam Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Colin White2 min
  • 15:59FLASam Bennett · Trippingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalFLA goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, 2nd 5:51 — FLA 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.23R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.20J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.19O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.15M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.14A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.12D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.11A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.10J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.09D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.09Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.08M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.08M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.07O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.06Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.06A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.06R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.05M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.04D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.04A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.04D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.02R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.01D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA1 G · 2.8 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsSEA
2.95 G
All situations
1 G2.8
2.22 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.73 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA52%48%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.86 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsSEA
28
Shots on goal
36
50%
Faceoffs
50%
3/4
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
19
Hits
25
12
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
12
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD011020.18210—27:17
42G. ForslingD101+130.09100—25:36
62B. MontourD011030.09130—25:23
18M. StaalD011000.17110—22:15
13S. ReinhartC000-100.271104521:22
27E. LuostarinenC011-110.140005019:36
9S. BennettC033+120.314124319:13
19M. TkachukL112+130.17110—18:59
12E. StaalC011+100.000105718:15
23C. VerhaegheC202+140.61002017:51
94R. LombergL011+110.0120210017:01
28J. MahuraD000+100.00100—16:40
21N. CousinsC000-160.42210016:36
6C. WhiteC000000.000205013:23
20A. HeponiemiC101+120.43200008:24
70P. HornqvistR000010.03000—06:01
7R. GudasD000000.00100—02:08
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(W)36351.9722.77+1.7760:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).