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Jets at Rangers
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
0
New York Rangers
▸3
FinalTV MSG, TSN3·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-0. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Strome's goal at 15:57 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 56% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were WPG 31, NYR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 31 of 33 (.939); Igor Shesterkin stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (31 saves, 1.000), 2. Ryan Strome (2 G), 3. Artemi Panarin (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin31 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYR
    R. Strome2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG06012013031
NYRNYR09114211334

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    R. Strome(18)PPG
    M. Zibanejad (50), A. Panarin (69)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    15:57

3rd period

  1. NYR
    A. Fox(11)
    A. Panarin (70), A. Copp (31)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    11:47
  2. NYR
    R. Strome(19)EN
    A. Copp (32), C. Kreider (23)
    wristxG 0.51
    0-3
    19:27

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·NYR 2 PIM

2nd

  • 14:19WPGMorgan Barron · High stickingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min

3rd

  • 1:21NYRK'Andre Miller · High stickingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 3:41WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalWPG goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Strome, 2nd 15:57 — NYR 56% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.51M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.47B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.19A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.14C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.12J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.11F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.11F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.10R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.10F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.09F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.08A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.08A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.06F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.05C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.05A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.04K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.03K. Rooney · Missed · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · Goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 3.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNYR
2.50 G
All situations
2 G3.1
2.40 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG56%44%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNYR
31
Shots on goal
34
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
16
Hits
20
15
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000-200.05110—24:30
2D. DeMeloD000010.02130—22:58
88N. SchmidtD000040.06000—22:51
81K. ConnorL000-130.28010—22:10
25P. StastnyC000-110.080005921:51
4N. PionkD000-120.09010—21:44
27N. EhlersL000-170.65012—20:22
26B. WheelerR000-240.28100—19:42
80P. DuboisC000-220.191103619:41
13Z. SanfordL000-100.25010—15:52
17A. LowryC000010.012004115:10
22M. AppletonC000020.27020014:35
5B. DillonD000010.01220—13:31
36M. BarronC000020.11202011:55
64L. StanleyD000000.00310—11:20
21D. ToninatoC000000.00100007:29
71E. SvechnikovL000010.14200—06:55
12J. HarkinsC000000.000105006:13
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1E. Comrie(L)33312.9392.16+0.1657:33

Season series

NYR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).