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Montréal Canadiens at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV CBC, SN360·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Suzuki's goal at 10:17 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.7 to 3.0; shots on goal were MTL 29, EDM 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 2 A), 2. Zach Hyman (1 A), 3. Cole Caufield (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL29110210529
EDMEDM11011208230

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:58
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    11:20
  3. MTL
    snapxG 0.25win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    19:21

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.28win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    5:37
  2. MTL
    N. Suzuki(13)PPG
    snapxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    10:17

3rd period

  1. MTL
    B. Kulak (10), N. Suzuki (27)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    10:15
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.60win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    16:11

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 17:39EDMEvander Kane · Hookingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min

2nd

  • 5:37MTLserved by C. Caufield · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 8:25EDMWarren Foegele · Hookingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 11:22MTLMike Hoffman · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 19:48MTLBen Chiarot · High stickingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

3rd

  • 6:17EDMRyan McLeod · High stickingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 8:12EDMMike Smith · Delaying game2 min
  • 9:06MTLBrendan Gallagher · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalMTL goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Suzuki, 2nd 10:17 — MTL 48% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.38K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.31R. McLeod · Goal · xG 0.28E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.21E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.17Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.15R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.12E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05M. Niemelainen · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.04W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.03P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.02D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02W. Lagesson · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.02P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.01W. Lagesson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.01D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.01M. Niemelainen · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM2 G · 3.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsEDM
3.74 G
All situations
2 G3.0
2.11 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.92 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL50%50%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsEDM
29
Shots on goal
30
42%
Faceoffs
58%
2/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
29
Hits
24
9
Blocked shots
6
23
Giveaways
16
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. RomanovD000020.05430—23:21
8B. ChiarotD011000.00202—23:20
77B. KulakD011+130.10110—22:29
14N. SuzukiC123030.231004322:22
26J. PetryD000+110.04620—22:09
22C. CaufieldR112030.64010—20:48
17J. AndersonR000010.06400—18:05
32R. PitlickC000010.100002017:12
68M. HoffmanC101030.77002015:34
45L. DauphinC000010.242003315:22
62A. LehkonenL101+120.10000—14:59
11B. GallagherR112020.62002—14:18
40J. ArmiaR000010.03300—12:06
20C. WidemanD022000.00000—11:26
43K. ClagueD000010.04210—10:58
85M. PerreaultC000020.241105010:32
25R. PoehlingC000+130.481006010:24
55M. PezzettaL000000.00200—06:35
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(W)30282.9333.05+1.0560:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).