Montréal Canadiens at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Suzuki's goal at 10:17 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.7 to 3.0; shots on goal were MTL 29, EDM 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 2 A), 2. Zach Hyman (1 A), 3. Cole Caufield (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★N. Suzuki1 G, 2 A

- ★★Z. Hyman1 A

- ★★★C. Caufield1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-010:58
1-111:20
2-119:21
2nd period
2-25:37
3-210:17
3rd period
4-210:15
5-216:11
Penalties
1st
- 17:39
Evander Kane · Hookingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
2nd
- 5:37
served by C. Caufield · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- 8:25
Warren Foegele · Hookingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
- 11:22
Mike Hoffman · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
- 19:48
Ben Chiarot · High stickingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
3rd
- 6:17
Ryan McLeod · High stickingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
- 8:12
Mike Smith · Delaying game2 min
- 9:06
Brendan Gallagher · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nick Suzuki, 2nd 10:17 — 48% → 66%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.74 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.0
- 2.11 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.4
- 0.92 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
- 0.21 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 3.01
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 42%
- Faceoffs
- 58%
- 2/4
- Power play
- 0/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 29
- Hits
- 24
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 6
- 23
- Giveaways
- 16
- 8
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
7@
2Final
5@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






