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Blackhawks at Wild
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Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild

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Chicago Blackhawks
3
Minnesota Wild
▸4
Final/OTTV BSWI+, NBCSCH·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime, Marcus Foligno scoring at 4:22. The Wild came back from two goals down. The Blackhawks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Foligno's goal at 4:22 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were CHI 36, MIN 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 40 of 44 (.909), 0.8 goals below expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Marcus Foligno (1 G), 2. Jared Spurgeon (2 A), 3. Kevin Fiala (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Foligno1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    K. Fiala1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CHICHI217091802336
MINMIN1802021412444

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    H. Borgstrom(3)
    E. Gustafsson (11)
    tip-inxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:51
  2. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(24)PPG
    S. Jones (23), D. Strome (8)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    17:07
  3. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(12)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (24), J. Spurgeon (9)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    19:30

3rd period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(17)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (25), J. Spurgeon (10)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +33 pts
    2-2
    10:45
  2. CHI
    H. Borgstrom(4)
    M. Entwistle (5), R. Carpenter (5)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +35 pts
    3-2
    12:03
  3. MIN
    K. Fiala(10)
    J. Greenway (6), A. Goligoski (20)
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +44 pts
    3-3
    17:56

Overtime

  1. MIN
    M. Foligno(16)
    J. Greenway (7), A. Goligoski (21)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    4:22

Penalties

CHI 12 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:38MINKirill Kaprizov · High stickingdrawn by Sam Lafferty2 min
  • 19:23CHIErik Gustafsson · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

2nd

  • 5:59CHIPhilipp Kurashev · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 16:55CHIJake McCabe · Interferencedrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

3rd

  • 7:34CHIJonathan Toews · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 7:34CHIJonathan Toews · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

OT

  • 0:43MINKirill Kaprizov · High stickingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 0:43CHIPatrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCHI goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Marcus Foligno, OT 4:22 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.25F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.22M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.22M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.12K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.12K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.09M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.08M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.07M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.06C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.06J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.05J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.05J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.04F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.04M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.03M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.00J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.00K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.00N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 3.2 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsMIN
2.53 G
All situations
4 G3.2
2.22 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.31 G
Power play
2 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 110 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI39%61%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 3.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsMIN
36
Shots on goal
44
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/1
Power play
2/5
12
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
14
21
Blocked shots
9
5
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD011-220.08330—32:05
5C. MurphyD000+230.03140—26:06
44C. de HaanD000030.22040—25:04
38B. HagelL000-110.2301010022:21
6J. McCabeD000-100.00112—20:26
12A. DeBrincatR101050.4311010019:33
88P. KaneR000-160.31012—18:36
77K. DachC000020.221003817:57
17D. StromeC011000.000007016:51
24S. LaffertyC000010.101006716:19
19J. ToewsC000-140.180044316:06
23P. KurashevC000-110.021125013:56
8D. KubalikL000-130.17000—12:50
22R. CarpenterC011+200.013304412:13
56E. GustafssonD011+100.05212—12:07
13H. BorgstromC202+230.411106008:06
58M. EntwistleR011+200.01400—07:46
82C. JonesD000+120.01000—07:17
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(O)44404.9093.16-0.8464:22

Season series

MIN leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).