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Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgeni Malkin's goal at 14:38 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 68% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were PIT 34, ANA 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jakob Silfverberg (1 G), 3. Jeff Carter (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Silfverberg1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. Carter2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT11621315434
ANAANA0711108126

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    slapxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:05

2nd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(1)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    3:23
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    8:33
  3. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    14:38

3rd period

  1. PIT
    J. Carter(11)EN
    wristxG 0.91win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    17:03

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:54ANARyan Getzlaf · Trippingdrawn by Radim Zohorna2 min
  • 19:40PITJohn Marino · Holdingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min

2nd

  • 2:41ANAHampus Lindholm · Interferencedrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min
  • 9:24ANAIsac Lundeström · High stickingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

3rd

  • 1:25PITJeff Carter · Hookingdrawn by Jamie Drysdale2 min
  • 6:35PITMike Matheson · Trippingdrawn by Sonny Milano2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalPIT goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Evgeni Malkin, 2nd 14:38 — PIT 68% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.19S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.19T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.17D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.15I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.15N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.12C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.12J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.10I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.10M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.09D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.07R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.04S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.04K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.00K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.00H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 2.1 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsANA
3.93 G
All situations
1 G2.1
2.42 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT65%35%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.98 – 2.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsANA
34
Shots on goal
26
65%
Faceoffs
35%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
14
9
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
19
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011+120.08220—24:18
8B. DumoulinD000+110.06020—23:28
9E. RodriguesC000020.1400010021:06
87S. CrosbyC000030.330306720:53
59J. GuentzelC011030.30000020:32
77J. CarterC202+121.042127519:48
2C. RuhwedelD000-120.05110—18:03
5M. MathesonD000-100.13102—17:25
71E. MalkinC213+240.410003317:21
6J. MarinoD011+220.02002—16:49
53T. BluegerC000020.242006215:06
42K. KapanenR022+210.27000—14:56
28M. PetterssonD011+200.02000—14:56
49D. SimonC000040.30100013:27
67R. ZohornaL000+120.23100—12:10
11B. BoyleC000010.211006309:52
20K. BjorkqvistR000010.01000—08:31
57A. AngelloC000020.08100005:19
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)26251.9622.15+1.1560:00

Season series

PIT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).