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Sharks at Sabres
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
▸3
Buffalo Sabres
2
FinalTV MSG-B, NBCSCA·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-2. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Timo Meier's goal at 13:44 of the first period, which took the Sharks' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.1 to 1.5; shots on goal were SJS 21, BUF 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 37 of 39 (.949); Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tomas Hertl (1 G, 1 A), 2. Adin Hill (37 saves, .949), 3. Jeff Skinner (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    T. Hertl1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    A. Hill37 saves, .949
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    J. Skinner1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS3110505321
BUFBUF0819122239

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    M. Nieto(3)
    A. Cogliano (8), N. Bonino (2)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:27
  2. SJS
    T. Meier(14)
    T. Hertl (11), M. Ferraro (9)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    13:44
  3. SJS
    T. Hertl(17)
    A. Barabanov (14)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    17:24

2nd period

  1. BUF
    J. Skinner(11)
    V. Olofsson (15)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    7:56

3rd period

  1. BUF
    Z. Girgensons(7)PPG
    T. Thompson (11), R. Dahlin (16)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +3 pts
    3-2
    18:15

Penalties

SJS 11 PIM·BUF 7 PIM

1st

  • 2:20BUFJohn Hayden · Fightingdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich5 min
  • 2:20SJSJonah Gadjovich · Fightingdrawn by John Hayden5 min

2nd

  • 13:58BUFJeff Skinner · Trippingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
  • 17:44SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 9:03SJSAndrew Cogliano · Cross checkingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 17:51SJSJaycob Megna · Trippingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalSJS goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Timo Meier, 1st 13:44 — SJS 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.14D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Girgensons · Goal · xG 0.10T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.09J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.09R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.08D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.08T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.07R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.07R. MacInnis · On goal · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.07V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.07R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.06R. Asplund · Missed · xG 0.06R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.06R. MacInnis · On goal · xG 0.05T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.05V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.03J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.03J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.03R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.02V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.00C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF2 G · 2.1 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsBUF
1.53 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.53 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS38%62%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.53 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsBUF
21
Shots on goal
39
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/1
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
7
16
Hits
10
21
Blocked shots
7
3
Giveaways
5
1
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD000+110.04010—26:34
38M. FerraroD011+120.05320—24:32
13N. BoninoC011+110.080204521:11
48T. HertlC112+120.060204020:40
28T. MeierR101+140.41020—20:07
44M. VlasicD000+110.03022—18:50
94A. BarabanovL011+110.20000—18:49
83M. NietoL101+120.13100—18:20
51R. SimekD000010.00610—18:20
24J. MegnaD000000.01042—16:24
11A. CoglianoC011+100.00112016:23
26J. WeatherbyC000010.150107513:52
6R. MerkleyD000+100.00010—13:46
73N. GregorL000010.11110—13:38
76J. DahlenC000020.07000011:18
42J. GadjovichL000010.20205—07:49
54S. ReedyC000000.00010007:41
63J. VielL000010.01200—07:22
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(W)39372.9492.15+0.1560:00

Season series

SJS leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).