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Blackhawks at Predators
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators

FinalTV NBCSCH, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 6-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Johansen's goal at 5:53 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 66% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were CHI 38, NSH 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Arvid Soderblom stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.5 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tanner Jeannot (2 G), 2. Juuse Saros (37 saves, .974), 3. Mattias Ekholm (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    T. Jeannot2 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros37 saves, .974
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Ekholm3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI015111012138
NSHNSH3721216625

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:02
  2. NSH
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    5:53
  3. NSH
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    19:13

2nd period

  1. NSH
    wristxG 0.17win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    0:28
  2. NSH
    R. Josi(11)PPG
    slapxG 0.05win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    5:34
  3. CHI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    17:25

3rd period

  1. NSH
    deflectedxG 0.08
    1-6
    0:53

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·NSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:44CHISeth Jones · Slashingdrawn by Philip Tomasino2 min
  • 4:44NSHMichael McCarron · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jujhar Khaira2 min
  • 9:28NSHRoman Josi · Holdingdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min
  • 13:19NSHPhilippe Myers · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 17:27CHIDylan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min

2nd

  • 3:23CHIBrandon Hagel · High stickingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 3:54CHIKirby Dach · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min

3rd

  • 3:13NSHMichael McCarron · Hookingdrawn by MacKenzie Entwistle2 min
  • 16:32NSHPhilippe Myers · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCHI goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Johansen, 1st 5:53 — NSH 66% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.24P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.20T. Jeannot · Goal · xG 0.17R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.12M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.12F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.10N. Cousins · Goal · xG 0.10T. Jeannot · Goal · xG 0.08R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.08N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.07E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.07T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.07M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.06R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.06R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.06M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.05Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.05R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.04M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.02M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.02P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH6 G · 2.4 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsNSH
3.11 G
All situations
6 G2.4
1.61 G
Even strength
4 G1.5
1.50 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI63%37%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.11 – 2.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsNSH
38
Shots on goal
25
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
6
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. MurphyD000-210.02170—22:22
4S. JonesD000050.15112—22:07
77K. DachC000-130.150023318:53
6J. McCabeD000-100.03110—18:35
12A. DeBrincatR000-330.44000—18:30
19J. ToewsC000-110.310007018:29
88P. KaneR000-360.79000—17:50
56E. GustafssonD000-120.12110—17:26
61R. StillmanD000-210.01000—17:12
44C. de HaanD011020.03010—14:28
16J. KhairaL000030.161006713:56
38B. HagelL000-110.11112—13:56
17D. StromeC000000.050023313:54
23P. KurashevC101030.16000013:42
8D. KubalikL000+140.32000—13:39
22R. CarpenterC000000.110104413:16
13H. BorgstromC011030.160005013:11
58M. EntwistleR000000.00000—11:15
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Soderblom18153.8331.50-1.5039:53
60C. Delia(L)743.5710.86-2.1420:00

Season series

NSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).