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Boston Bruins at Nashville Predators

FinalTV BSSO, NESN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Nashville Predators 2-0. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Carlo's goal at 0:30 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 62% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were BOS 33, NSH 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 42 of 42 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jeremy Swayman (42 saves, 1.000), 2. Brandon Carlo (1 G), 3. Juuse Saros (31 saves, .939).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    J. Swayman42 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    BOS
    B. Carlo1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    J. Saros31 saves, .939

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS1151909233
NSHNSH012014016042

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    14:38

2nd period

  1. BOS
    slapxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    0:30

Penalties

BOS 4 PIM·NSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 12:39NSHYakov Trenin · Interferencedrawn by Jakub Zboril2 min
  • 12:39BOSTrent Frederic · Roughingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min
  • 12:39NSHMark Borowiecki · Roughingdrawn by Trent Frederic2 min

2nd

  • 19:40NSHMattias Ekholm · Trippingdrawn by Karson Kuhlman2 min

3rd

  • 6:04BOSCharlie Coyle · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 10:18NSHFilip Forsberg · Holdingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 12:02NSHMark Borowiecki · High stickingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalBOS goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Brandon Carlo, 2nd 0:30 — BOS 62% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.15N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.12F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.11T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.09P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.09E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.08P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.08M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.08M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.07D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.07T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.06E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.06P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.06R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.05N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.05L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.05D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.05P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH0 G · 2.6 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsNSH
3.92 G
All situations
0 G2.6
2.31 G
Even strength
0 G2.0
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS61%39%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.32 – 2.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsNSH
33
Shots on goal
42
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/4
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
10
13
Hits
24
20
Blocked shots
11
8
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000010.01050—28:45
25B. CarloD101+120.11220—22:59
88D. PastrnakR000050.48100—22:03
28D. ForbortD000+110.03140—20:29
37P. BergeronC000070.832005220:18
71T. HallL000040.29000—20:15
13C. CoyleC011+100.540125618:59
48M. GrzelcykD000000.00020—18:03
56E. HaulaL011+120.69110—17:21
12C. SmithC011+120.18110017:02
17N. FolignoL000020.1510010017:01
6M. ReillyD000010.05000—16:37
92T. NosekL000030.190102914:03
20C. LazarC000000.001108311:20
74J. DeBruskL101020.24100—10:48
83K. KuhlmanC000000.00100009:58
11T. FredericC000000.061023307:13
67J. ZborilD000010.02020—05:28
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(W)424201.0002.64+2.6459:18

Season series

BOS leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).