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Senators at Wild
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Ottawa Senators at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
4
Minnesota Wild
▸5
Final/OTTV BSWI+, BSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Ottawa Senators 5-4 in overtime, Kirill Kaprizov scoring at 2:02. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 4-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 2:02 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were OTT 28, MIN 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 38 of 43 (.884), 0.6 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Marcus Foligno (2 G), 3. Drake Batherson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Foligno2 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT173120900428
MINMIN31311001911543

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Foligno(3)
    J. Spurgeon (2), J. Eriksson Ek (2)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:57
  2. MIN
    C. Addison(1)
    K. Kaprizov (7), J. Merrill (2)
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    4:24
  3. OTT
    N. Paul(3)
    C. Brown (5), A. Formenton (1)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +6 pts
    1-2
    10:48
  4. MIN
    N. Sturm(2)
    D. Kulikov (3), K. Fiala (3)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +10 pts
    1-3
    13:35

2nd period

  1. OTT
    D. Batherson(5)
    M. Del Zotto (1), J. Norris (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    2:12
  2. OTT
    J. Norris(6)PPG
    D. Batherson (5), T. Stützle (5)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    3-3
    3:23
  3. OTT
    C. Tierney(5)
    T. Ennis (5), M. Del Zotto (2)
    deflectedxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    7:48
  4. MIN
    M. Foligno(4)PPG
    M. Dumba (5), J. Brodin (3)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    4-4
    10:10

Overtime

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(1)
    K. Fiala (4)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    2:02

Penalties

OTT 13 PIM·MIN 13 PIM

1st

  • 10:17MINBrandon Duhaime · Fightingdrawn by Austin Watson5 min
  • 10:17OTTAustin Watson · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime5 min
  • 14:57OTTZachary Sanford · Trippingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min
  • 16:45OTTArtem Zub · Trippingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min

2nd

  • 2:12MINserved by A. Beckman · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 5:36MINConnor Dewar · Interferencedrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 8:36OTTNick Paul · Hookingdrawn by Frederick Gaudreau2 min
  • 16:47MINAdam Beckman · Hookingdrawn by Joshua Brown2 min
  • 17:48OTTBrady Tkachuk · High stickingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

3rd

  • 7:17MINKevin Fiala · Trippingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalOTT goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, OT 2:02 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.34K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.24N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.22K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.22K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.21M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.20K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.20K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.19K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.19K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.18N. Sturm · Goal · xG 0.18N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.18M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.17M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.17K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.13R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.12K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.12K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.08M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.08R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.06B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.06F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.06F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05C. Addison · Goal · xG 0.05J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.04F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02A. Beckman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01K. Rau · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01C. Addison · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.00D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.00M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 4.4 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsMIN
2.54 G
All situations
5 G4.4
1.43 G
Even strength
4 G4.0
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT23%77%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.48 – 4.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsMIN
28
Shots on goal
43
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
13
28
Hits
16
20
Blocked shots
5
6
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000020.08220—29:21
2A. ZubD000000.01142—23:43
28C. BrownR011000.0000010021:39
21N. PaulL101030.132225020:06
18T. StützleC011-200.14010019:18
7B. TkachukL000-150.49302—18:25
9J. NorrisC112040.850204118:15
22N. ZaitsevD000+130.03300—17:43
19D. BathersonR112040.2620010017:41
15M. Del ZottoD022000.01220—15:19
3J. BrownD000-110.01420—15:12
98V. MeteD000-100.00000—14:40
13Z. SanfordL000+100.10222—13:54
10A. FormentonL011010.02210—12:08
16A. WatsonL000000.00315—11:50
71C. TierneyC101020.19010011:15
20L. ShawR000010.080005010:22
63T. EnnisR011020.06200—08:01
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(O)43385.8844.38-0.6261:37

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).