Skip to content
Avalanche at Blues
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
St. Louis Blues
3
FinalTV ALT, BSMW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3. The Blues scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nazem Kadri's goal at 14:40 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 68% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.0 to 1.4; shots on goal were COL 42, STL 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.6 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 38 of 42 (.905), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Compher (2 G), 2. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cale Makar (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    J. Compher2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL114216112442
STLSTL150726318

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    C. Parayko(1)
    M. Scandella (4), V. Tarasenko (4)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:21
  2. COL
    J. Compher(3)
    R. Murray (1), T. Jost (1)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:12

2nd period

  1. COL
    J. Compher(4)PPG
    A. Burakovsky (2), C. Makar (4)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    11:33
  2. COL
    N. Kadri(2)
    L. O'Connor (2), R. Murray (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    14:40

3rd period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(2)
    J. Kyrou (7), J. Neal (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    4:13
  2. COL
    C. Makar(2)
    N. MacKinnon (6)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    4:51
  3. STL
    V. Tarasenko(4)
    R. Thomas (6), I. Barbashev (3)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    4-3
    16:01

Penalties

COL 19 PIM·STL 37 PIM

1st

  • 0:47COLNazem Kadri · Fightingdrawn by Justin Faulk5 min
  • 0:47STLJustin Faulk · Instigatordrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 0:47STLJustin Faulk · Fightingdrawn by Nazem Kadri5 min
  • 0:47STLJustin Faulk · Misconduct10 min
  • 6:12STLKlim Kostin · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 13:20STLTorey Krug · Holdingdrawn by Jacob MacDonald2 min
  • 14:31COLGabriel Landeskog · Trippingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min

2nd

  • 0:41STLMarco Scandella · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 10:27STLJustin Faulk · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:30COLJ.T. Compher · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 19:30STLIvan Barbashev · Roughingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
  • 19:30STLJordan Binnington · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:30COLNazem Kadri · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCOL goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Nazem Kadri, 2nd 14:40 — COL 68% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Joshua · Missed · xG 0.22R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.16T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.14V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.11B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.09D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.09R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.06M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.06J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.06J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.01D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.00T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 1.4 xG · 24 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSTL
3.04 G
All situations
3 G1.4
2.23 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL78%22%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 1.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSTL
42
Shots on goal
18
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/5
Power play
0/1
19
Penalty minutes
37
22
Hits
24
14
Blocked shots
21
3
Giveaways
4
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD112-130.25000—25:14
4B. ByramD000030.04010—23:19
92G. LandeskogL000010.021024322:19
29N. MacKinnonC011020.280003020:49
6E. JohnsonD000+110.02540—20:16
95A. BurakovskyL011-120.35200—19:56
3J. JohnsonD000010.10110—19:09
37J. CompherL202+150.392025018:23
17T. JostC011+110.031003318:22
28R. MurrayD022000.02040—17:01
25L. O'ConnorR011-140.26010—16:09
91N. KadriC101040.0911157313:12
75S. RantaL000+110.04010—11:41
61M. KautR000+210.06100—11:22
43D. HelmC000-140.26200011:00
26J. MacDonaldD000-140.43100—10:47
12J. MegnaC000-140.363001709:06
56K. MacDermidL000010.01210—07:26
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(W)18153.8331.40-1.6060:00

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).