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Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV BSSD, BSSC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-5. The lead changed hands 4 times. The Ducks led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evan Bouchard's goal at 10:30 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.8 to 3.3; shots on goal were ANA 36, EDM 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 1.2 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 11 of 15 (.733), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Zack Kassian (2 G), 2. Sam Steel (2 G), 3. Leon Draisaitl (2 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    Z. Kassian2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    S. Steel2 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA210212114536
EDMEDM31101838637

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:07
  2. EDM
    slapxG 0.19win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:47
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.25win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    14:52
  4. ANA
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    15:07
  5. EDM
    slapxG 0.26win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    19:29

2nd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.02win prob +18 pts
    3-3
    8:46
  2. ANA
    backhandxG 0.33win prob +19 pts
    4-3
    9:59

3rd period

  1. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +26 pts
    4-4
    5:27
  2. EDM
    slapxG 0.06win prob +32 pts
    4-5
    10:30
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.96win prob +5 pts
    4-6
    18:59
  4. ANA
    slapxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    5-6
    19:41

Penalties

ANA 12 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:05ANACam Fowler · Trippingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
  • 19:05ANARickard Rakell · Cross checkingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min

2nd

  • 1:39ANAKevin Shattenkirk · Trippingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
  • 2:19EDMKyle Turris · Hookingdrawn by Cam Fowler2 min
  • 3:13ANAHampus Lindholm · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 14:02EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Slashingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min

3rd

  • 3:36ANAKevin Shattenkirk · High stickingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
  • 15:02ANAAdam Henrique · High stickingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalANA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Evan Bouchard, 3rd 10:30 — EDM 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.96L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.26C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.25Z. Kassian · Goal · xG 0.19Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.18C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.18D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.16J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.14J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.14W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.14D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.14D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Kassian · Goal · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.12E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.11W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.07J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.05D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.05J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.05S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.05T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.05C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.04D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.04K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.04K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.04J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.01
EDM6 G · 4.8 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsEDM
3.35 G
All situations
5 G4.8
2.65 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.60 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA43%57%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.31 – 3.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsEDM
36
Shots on goal
37
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/1
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
22
14
Blocked shots
17
14
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47H. LindholmD000-130.11012—21:35
4C. FowlerD000+320.21212—21:10
22K. ShattenkirkD202+220.26114—21:04
34J. DrysdaleD000-220.09100—20:03
67R. RakellR000-120.45312—19:50
42J. MansonD000+140.06210—18:48
46T. ZegrasC011-140.360002918:15
14A. HenriqueC011-110.250226717:58
15R. GetzlafC011-220.133103517:40
76J. MahuraD000010.02830—15:57
33J. SilfverbergR033+330.05000—15:25
21I. LundestromC022+310.091005314:18
44M. ComtoisL000-330.1630010013:18
19T. TerryR022010.23000—12:35
38D. GrantC000000.060003312:04
23S. SteelC202+320.3501010011:52
20N. DeslauriersL101+110.27310—10:23
50B. GroulxC000020.172103309:49
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(L)36315.8613.83-1.1757:41

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).