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Golden Knights at Avalanche
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
Colorado Avalanche
2
Final/OTTV NBCSN, CBC·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2 in overtime, Mark Stone scoring at 0:50. The Golden Knights came back from two goals down. The Avalanche led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Stone's goal at 0:50 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.3 to 1.5; shots on goal were VGK 25, COL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Philipp Grubauer stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Stone (1 G), 2. Jonathan Marchessault (1 G), 3. Brandon Saad (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Stone1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    B. Saad1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK090521011325
COLCOL1101110702230

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    B. Saad(7)
    D. Toews (5), M. Rantanen (8)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    19:58

2nd period

  1. COL
    J. Donskoi(3)
    A. Newhook (1), P. Nemeth (1)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    16:28

3rd period

  1. VGK
    A. Tuch(4)
    N. Roy (3), M. Janmark (4)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    1:03
  2. VGK
    J. Marchessault(6)
    W. Karlsson (7)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +26 pts
    2-2
    4:07

Overtime

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(5)
    M. Pacioretty (3), A. Pietrangelo (6)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +52 pts
    3-2
    0:50

Penalties

VGK 2 PIM·COL 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:07COLMikko Rantanen · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Marc-Andre Fleury2 min

3rd

  • 10:50VGKShea Theodore · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalVGK goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Mark Stone, OT 0:50 — VGK 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.27J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.22J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.22T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.16L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.14R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.12T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.09B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.09S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.07J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.05J. Donskoi · Goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.05L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 2.3 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCOL
1.53 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.53 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK34%66%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.51 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCOL
25
Shots on goal
30
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
31
Hits
41
26
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
11
12
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD011+170.27240—23:51
2Z. WhitecloudD000-110.06210—21:15
27S. TheodoreD000+120.09012—20:51
22N. HoldenD000-110.05320—19:42
61M. StoneR101+110.24030—19:35
20C. StephensonC000+100.000106019:12
23A. MartinezD000+120.03130—19:00
67M. PaciorettyL011+110.01020—18:23
81J. MarchessaultR101020.141003317:21
71W. KarlssonC011010.190204316:58
89A. TuchR101+130.26300—16:52
3B. McNabbD000+110.06620—16:13
19R. SmithR000010.04010—15:40
26M. JanmarkC011+100.00200014:45
10N. RoyC011+100.002105714:19
55K. KolesarR000-100.00320—09:44
38P. BrownC000-120.071004309:30
28W. CarrierL000-100.00510—08:59
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)30282.9332.29+0.2960:50

Series

VGK leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).