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Avalanche at Golden Knights
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
2
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Pacioretty's goal at 15:27 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.7 to 1.5; shots on goal were COL 20, VGK 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 40 of 43 (.930), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Max Pacioretty (1 G), 2. Jonathan Marchessault (1 G), 3. William Karlsson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Pacioretty1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL031918220
VGKVGK014110219343

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. VGK
    W. Karlsson(3)
    A. Pietrangelo (4), A. Martinez (1)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    4:38
  2. COL
    C. Soderberg(1)
    P. Bellemare (2), K. Sherwood (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:07

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(4)PPG
    C. Makar (7), G. Landeskog (8)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    5:04
  2. VGK
    J. Marchessault(2)
    R. Smith (3), N. Hague (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +38 pts
    2-2
    14:42
  3. VGK
    M. Pacioretty(2)
    N. Holden (5), M. Stone (2)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +38 pts
    2-3
    15:27

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:13COLGabriel Landeskog · Slashingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min
  • 17:54COLPatrik Nemeth · Interferencedrawn by William Carrier2 min

2nd

  • 14:41VGKShea Theodore · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 4:56VGKNicolas Roy · Hookingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCOL goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Max Pacioretty, 3rd 15:27 — VGK 52% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.26D. Sikura · Missed · xG 0.20M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.20W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.20M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.16A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.15K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.14A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.12W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.12M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.12M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.11M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.11W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.11M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.09W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.09R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.09A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.09A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.09M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.07R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07D. Sikura · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.06W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.06P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.03A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.03A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.03N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.02A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.01P. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01P. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.01D. Sikura · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01D. Sikura · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.00S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 3.7 xG · 65 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsVGK
1.52 G
All situations
3 G3.7
1.01 G
Even strength
3 G3.3
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL16%84%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.49 – 3.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsVGK
20
Shots on goal
43
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
50
Hits
50
22
Blocked shots
19
7
Giveaways
14
13
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD000-110.07210—27:38
8C. MakarD011020.05530—26:34
49S. GirardD000-110.00220—21:55
96M. RantanenR101-130.223008021:39
29N. MacKinnonC000-140.171004221:11
92G. LandeskogL011-100.007125619:31
27R. GravesD000-200.00150—18:45
20B. SaadL000-110.15300—15:56
95A. BurakovskyL000-110.10010—14:49
13V. NichushkinR000-210.22500—14:32
37J. CompherL000-110.111405414:00
24P. NemethD000000.01412—13:54
17T. JostC000010.121102913:42
72J. DonskoiR000000.00310—12:52
34C. SoderbergC101020.242006011:37
41P. BellemareL011+120.032105011:14
44K. SherwoodL011+100.00400—10:08
22C. TimminsD000000.00410—07:56
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)43403.9303.66+0.6658:07

Series

VGK leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).