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Blackhawks at Hurricanes
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
FinalTV NBCSCH, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Necas's goal at 13:34 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 5.6 to 2.5; shots on goal were CHI 17, CAR 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Malcolm Subban stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 1.6 goals below expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 15 of 17 (.882). Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (3 G), 2. Dougie Hamilton (1 G, 1 A), 3. Vincent Trocheck (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho3 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    D. Hamilton1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    V. Trocheck2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI041716217
CARCAR27216115538

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    D. Hamilton(10)
    V. Trocheck (23), W. Foegele (10)
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:33
  2. CAR
    M. Necas(12)
    V. Trocheck (24), J. Bean (11)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:34

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(22)
    A. Svechnikov (26), B. Skjei (7)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    4:42
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(23)PPG
    D. Hamilton (32), J. Staal (22)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    9:52
  3. CHI
    I. Mitchell(3)
    D. Strome (7), D. Kubalik (17)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    18:35

3rd period

  1. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(26)
    D. Kubalik (18)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    14:38
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(24)EN
    J. Fast (13)
    wristxG 0.95win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    18:44

Penalties

CHI 6 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:24CARSebastian Aho · Hookingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min

2nd

  • 0:33CHIDavid Kampf · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Alex Nedeljkovic2 min
  • 8:37CHIserved by D. Kubalik · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 3:36CARMax McCormick · Roughingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 6:12CHIPius Suter · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 8:30CARJesper Fast · Trippingdrawn by Ian Mitchell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalCHI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Martin Necas, 1st 13:34 — CAR 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.95J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.35S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.24S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.23J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.21S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.20S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.20T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.17W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.16S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.15N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.15T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.15S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.15M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.14J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.13W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.13N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.13N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.13S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.13V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.12J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.09M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.08J. Bean · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.07J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.06M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.03B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 5.6 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCAR
2.52 G
All situations
4 G5.6
1.72 G
Even strength
3 G3.3
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI20%80%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 4.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCAR
17
Shots on goal
38
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
26
16
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD000-130.13020—24:23
16N. ZadorovD000+200.01330—22:48
5C. MurphyD000-200.00110—21:31
88P. KaneR000-120.29000—20:07
12A. DeBrincatR101-210.4531010019:35
77K. DachC000-300.130102918:47
48W. KalynukD000-300.05110—18:15
24P. SuterC000000.001126016:08
64D. KampfC000-100.014125316:03
8D. KubalikL022-140.35210—15:35
38B. HagelL000010.21200—14:14
74N. BeaudinD000+110.02200—14:08
28V. HinostrozaC000-110.16300013:28
23P. KurashevC000010.332002513:09
17D. StromeC011+110.070003112:29
51I. MitchellD101010.10010—12:08
86M. HardmanL000000.00020—11:48
11A. GaudetteR000010.15010—11:31
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Subban(L)18144.7782.39-1.6129:44
60C. Delia191901.0002.23+2.2328:58

Season series

CAR leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).