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Hurricanes at Blackhawks
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NBCSN, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Carolina Hurricanes 2-1. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Strome's goal at 0:29 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 1.9 to 1.1; shots on goal were CAR 32, CHI 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 14 of 16 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex DeBrincat (1 G), 2. Kevin Lankinen (31 saves, .969), 3. Dylan Strome (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    A. DeBrincat1 G
  2. ★★
    CHI
    K. Lankinen31 saves, .969
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    D. Strome1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR01311207132
CHICHI052704216

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    0:29
  2. CHI
    P. Kane (36)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    4:02
  3. CAR
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    15:41

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·CHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 10:37CARDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min

2nd

  • 3:19CARDougie Hamilton · Slashingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 10:33CHINikita Zadorov · Trippingdrawn by Cedric Paquette2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCAR goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan Strome, 2nd 0:29 — CHI 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.23D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.12D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.09D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.08A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.08D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.07D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.06D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.06P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02A. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.02K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.01C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI2 G · 1.1 xG · 24 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsCHI
1.91 G
All situations
2 G1.1
1.81 G
Even strength
1 G0.9
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR67%33%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.88 – 1.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsCHI
32
Shots on goal
16
64%
Faceoffs
36%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
27
Hits
28
8
Blocked shots
19
7
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000010.08120—24:30
19D. HamiltonD000020.05114—24:18
22B. PesceD000020.18100—23:25
76B. SkjeiD011050.09000—19:26
11J. StaalC000-100.006108618:59
16V. TrocheckC011+160.311106718:57
20S. AhoC000020.230005017:58
37A. SvechnikovR101+130.26200—17:21
88M. NecasC000000.071003317:20
21N. NiederreiterR000020.18100—16:08
23B. McGinnL000-100.04110—16:07
13W. FoegeleL000-130.143106715:44
71J. FastR000+100.000005015:14
24J. BeanD000020.08100—14:50
4H. FleuryD000030.07400—11:36
48J. MartinookL000000.00100—10:45
78S. LorentzC000010.111003808:36
18C. PaquetteC000000.00210008:17
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(L)16142.8751.10-0.9057:40

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).