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Hurricanes at Blackhawks
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
4
Chicago Blackhawks
▸6
FinalTV FS-CR, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Carolina Hurricanes 6-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex DeBrincat's goal at 12:22 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 52% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 4.5 to 3.8; shots on goal were CAR 34, CHI 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. James Reimer stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 1.4 goals below expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 30 of 34 (.882). Three stars: 1. Patrick Kane (1 G, 3 A), 2. Dominik Kubalik (1 G, 2 A), 3. Alex DeBrincat (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    P. Kane1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    D. Kubalik1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    A. DeBrincat2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR15217112434
CHICHI31309313635

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(2)
    D. Hamilton (5), A. Svechnikov (3)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:15
  2. CHI
    M. Janmark(4)PPG
    D. Kubalik (7), P. Kurashev (2)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    3:17
  3. CHI
    D. Kubalik(3)PPG
    N. Beaudin (1), M. Janmark (4)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    14:43
  4. CHI
    A. Shaw(2)PPG
    P. Kane (7), D. Kubalik (8)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    19:53

2nd period

  1. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(4)
    M. Necas (4), J. Slavin (2)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    0:42
  2. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(6)
    D. Hamilton (6)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +16 pts
    3-3
    0:50

3rd period

  1. CHI
    P. Kane(6)
    C. Soderberg (1)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +25 pts
    3-4
    2:41
  2. CAR
    B. McGinn(2)
    S. Aho (6), B. Pesce (3)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +27 pts
    4-4
    5:25
  3. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(3)
    P. Suter (3), P. Kane (8)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +34 pts
    4-5
    12:22
  4. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(4)EN
    P. Kane (9)
    wristxG 0.89win prob +5 pts
    4-6
    19:47

Penalties

CAR 10 PIM·CHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:37CARHaydn Fleury · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 8:23CHIDominik Kubalik · Hookingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min
  • 13:18CARMartin Necas · Trippingdrawn by Ian Mitchell2 min
  • 17:34CARSteven Lorentz · Illegal check to headdrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min
  • 18:16CARBrady Skjei · Trippingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

2nd

  • 3:36CHIDominik Kubalik · High stickingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 15:45CARBrett Pesce · Trippingdrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min

3rd

  • 0:07CHIPatrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 14:07CHIPatrick Kane · High stickingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCAR goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Alex DeBrincat, 3rd 12:22 — CHI 52% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.89B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.28P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.21P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.21D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.19A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.19B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.19A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.18A. Shaw · Goal · xG 0.16P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.14M. Janmark · Goal · xG 0.12D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.12P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.11P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.10D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.09B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.09D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.06P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kubalik · Goal · xG 0.04M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.03P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.02I. Mitchell · Missed · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.02N. Beaudin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Beaudin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.01A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.00D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI6 G · 4.5 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsCHI
3.84 G
All situations
5 G4.5
2.84 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.80 G
Power play
3 G1.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR53%47%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.74 – 3.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsCHI
34
Shots on goal
35
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/4
Power play
3/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
23
17
Blocked shots
27
6
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19D. HamiltonD022+250.12120—25:07
74J. SlavinD011+110.07240—22:05
16V. TrocheckC000030.293107519:33
20S. AhoC112+140.591006319:22
22B. PesceD011-100.02002—18:46
11J. StaalC000000.171405217:55
88M. NecasC011+130.25112017:50
86T. TeravainenC000-130.50000017:39
76B. SkjeiD000010.02232—17:38
37A. SvechnikovR112+130.59000—17:11
51J. GardinerD000020.10200—16:38
21N. NiederreiterR101+130.32010—16:36
23B. McGinnL101+220.51100—13:37
13W. FoegeleL000-100.00200—12:52
4H. FleuryD000010.04102—11:22
18R. DzingelC000010.14110010:47
78S. LorentzC000-100.000025008:58
48J. MartinookL000-120.0330010008:42
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(L)34295.8533.57-1.4358:40

Season series

CAR leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).