Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes
Recap
written from the game dataThe Chicago Blackhawks beat the Carolina Hurricanes 2-1 in overtime, Alex DeBrincat scoring at 2:02. The Hurricanes scored first; the Blackhawks answered. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex DeBrincat's goal at 2:02 of overtime, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — CHI 3.8, CAR 4.0; shots on goal were CHI 27, CAR 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Collin Delia stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 3.0 goals saved above expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Collin Delia (36 saves, .973), 2. Alex DeBrincat (1 G), 3. Petr Mrazek (25 saves, .926).
Three stars
- ★C. Delia36 saves, .973

- ★★A. DeBrincat1 G

- ★★★P. Mrazek25 saves, .926

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-19:49
3rd period
1-116:59
Overtime
2-12:02
Penalties
1st
- 8:27
Teuvo Teravainen · Hookingdrawn by Adam Gaudette2 min
2nd
- 6:09
served by B. Connolly · Too many men on the ice2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Alex DeBrincat, OT 2:02 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.82 G
- All situations
- 1 G4.0
- 3.62 G
- Even strength
- 0 G3.4
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.80 – 3.94
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 37
- 41%
- Faceoffs
- 59%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 36
- Hits
- 24
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 13
- Giveaways
- 31
- 4
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
