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Predators at Blackhawks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV ESPN+, BSSO·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Johansen's goal at 6:33 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 2.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were NSH 28, CHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Malcolm Subban stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (29 saves, .967), 2. Malcolm Subban (25 saves, .893), 3. Luke Kunin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros29 saves, .967
  2. ★★
    CHI
    M. Subban25 saves, .893
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    L. Kunin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0821218328
CHICHI01101316130

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    6:33
  2. NSH
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    16:24

3rd period

  1. NSH
    R. Ellis (10), N. Cousins (10)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +2 pts
    3-0
    16:05
  2. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    3-1
    16:41

Penalties

NSH 2 PIM·CHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:33NSHColton Sissons · High stickingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min

2nd

  • 11:57CHIKirby Dach · High stickingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min

3rd

  • 12:30CHIBrandon Hagel · Holdingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalNSH goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Johansen, 2nd 6:33 — NSH 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.17P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.15V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.13P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.13V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.11P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.10P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.08V. Hinostroza · Goal · xG 0.08P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.08K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.08D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.07R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.06A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.06D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.05A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.04P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.03P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.02W. Kalynuk · On goal · xG 0.02W. Kalynuk · Missed · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI1 G · 2.1 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCHI
1.73 G
All situations
1 G2.1
1.53 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH41%59%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.68 – 2.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCHI
28
Shots on goal
30
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
43
Hits
36
14
Blocked shots
20
8
Giveaways
11
11
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14M. EkholmD000+110.04210—24:24
4R. EllisD022+220.05130—23:51
59R. JosiD000010.02130—22:21
92R. JohansenC101020.323004418:34
64M. GranlundC011+100.002107918:21
19C. JarnkrokC011+140.13210018:18
33V. ArvidssonL000040.290005017:03
5M. BenningD000000.00000—16:51
28E. TolvanenR011000.06200—16:25
44E. GudbransonD000010.08610—16:13
56E. HaulaL101+120.011005015:26
17B. HarpurD000+120.03310—14:08
10C. SissonsC000020.100026713:33
11L. KuninC101+120.21400013:26
95M. DucheneC000+130.22400013:23
84T. JeannotL000000.00410—12:15
21N. CousinsC011+100.00410011:45
13Y. TreninC000020.13410011:43
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)30291.9672.14+1.1460:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).