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Blackhawks at Predators
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators

FinalTV NBCSCH, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Colton Sissons's goal at 10:14 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 70% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 4.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were CHI 41, NSH 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.2 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 41 of 41 (1.000), 4.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (41 saves, 1.000), 2. Colton Sissons (1 G), 3. Eeli Tolvanen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros41 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NSH
    C. Sissons1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    E. Tolvanen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI014012015041
NSHNSH161916321

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    slapxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    5:56

2nd period

  1. NSH
    C. Sissons(6)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.22win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    10:14

3rd period

  1. NSH
    wristxG 0.15win prob +4 pts
    0-3
    9:54

Penalties

CHI 2 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:38CHINikita Zadorov · Elbowingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 9:01NSHMathieu Olivier · Holdingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min

2nd

  • 8:43NSHLuke Kunin · Roughingdrawn by Adam Boqvist2 min
  • 10:14CHIAdam Boqvist · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Colton Sissons0 min

3rd

  • 4:03NSHLuke Kunin · Trippingdrawn by Adam Boqvist2 min
  • 4:08NSHColton Sissons · Slashingdrawn by Adam Boqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCHI goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Colton Sissons, 2nd 10:14 — NSH 70% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.26C. Sissons · Goal · xG 0.22R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.17L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.15L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.12C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.10R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.09L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.08E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.06E. Tolvanen · Goal · xG 0.06E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.05M. Olivier · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.03M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.03J. Davies · On goal · xG 0.02M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.02B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.00M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 1.8 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsNSH
4.30 G
All situations
3 G1.8
3.70 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI85%15%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.11 – 1.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsNSH
41
Shots on goal
21
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/4
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
6
Hits
17
11
Blocked shots
10
10
Giveaways
12
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. BoqvistD000010.22010—22:50
2D. KeithD000020.08050—22:20
88P. KaneR000010.14000—21:55
12A. DeBrincatR000050.80200—21:06
5C. MurphyD000-120.03210—19:56
16N. ZadorovD000-100.06102—19:06
77K. DachC000040.270005419:01
17D. StromeC000-150.800103817:29
13M. JanmarkC000-130.26000016:55
24P. SuterC000-130.810003616:19
8D. KubalikL000020.15000—16:12
44C. de HaanD000050.30010—15:29
23P. KurashevC000010.000003314:33
48W. KalynukD000010.03010—14:16
38B. HagelL000040.24000—13:27
64D. KampfC000000.000006010:54
22R. CarpenterC000010.05110009:33
36M. HighmoreC000010.03000008:53
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(L)21183.8571.79-1.2159:28

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).