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Blackhawks at Predators
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators

FinalTV NBCSCH, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Calle Jarnkrok's goal at 4:48 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were CHI 32, NSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 17 of 22 (.773), 3.4 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Luke Kunin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mikael Granlund (2 A), 3. Tanner Jeannot (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    L. Kunin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    M. Granlund2 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    T. Jeannot1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI18114010232
NSHNSH19211210530

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:22
  2. CHI
    P. Suter (9), P. Kane (42)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    15:14

2nd period

  1. NSH
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    4:48
  2. NSH
    snapxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    5:39
  3. CHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    11:52

3rd period

  1. NSH
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    0:23
  2. NSH
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +6 pts
    2-5
    0:41

Penalties

CHI 10 PIM·NSH 20 PIM

1st

  • 14:05NSHMattias Ekholm · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Strome2 min
  • 16:41NSHYakov Trenin · Trippingdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min

2nd

  • 6:37CHICalvin de Haan · Holding the stickdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 7:42NSHserved by N. Cousins · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:18CHIDuncan Keith · Trippingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min

3rd

  • 6:14CHIPius Suter · High sticking double minordrawn by Matt Benning4 min
  • 13:44NSHRyan Johansen · Interferencedrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min
  • 17:20CHIAlex DeBrincat · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 19:49NSHNick Cousins · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:49NSHNick Cousins · Cross checkingdrawn by Riley Stillman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCHI goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Calle Jarnkrok, 2nd 4:48 — NSH 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.42M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.18L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.14R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.14R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.14C. Jarnkrok · Goal · xG 0.14M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.12E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.10R. Grimaldi · Missed · xG 0.10M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.10C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.09L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.09L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.09T. Jeannot · Goal · xG 0.07R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.06E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.06C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · Goal · xG 0.05L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.05N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.04C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.03L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.03E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH5 G · 2.6 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsNSH
2.12 G
All situations
5 G2.6
1.81 G
Even strength
5 G2.3
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI41%59%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsNSH
32
Shots on goal
30
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/5
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
20
22
Hits
19
10
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD000-230.09112—25:29
5C. MurphyD000-150.11120—25:24
16N. ZadorovD000-100.00310—22:28
44C. de HaanD000-230.06022—21:55
88P. KaneR011-230.19000—21:31
12A. DeBrincatR101-230.24602—19:25
77K. DachC000-100.001104017:36
61R. StillmanD000-220.07210—16:53
28V. HinostrozaC000-320.30000016:20
24P. SuterC011-310.151043816:07
64D. KampfC101+110.111008114:42
22R. CarpenterC000010.13210014:15
8D. KubalikL000030.27010—13:27
23P. KurashevC000-110.060005013:23
20B. ConnollyR000010.11300—11:04
17D. StromeC000-110.091003310:40
11A. GaudetteR011020.13000—07:39
48W. KalynukD000000.00000—01:42
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(L)22175.7731.63-3.3740:41
30M. Subban8801.0000.95+0.9519:19

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).