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Blackhawks at Predators
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
2
Nashville Predators
▸3
Final/OTTV FS-TN, NBCSCH·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-2 in overtime, Roman Josi scoring at 1:57. The Blackhawks scored first; the Predators answered. The Blackhawks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roman Josi's goal at 1:57 of overtime, which took the Predators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.7 to 1.2; shots on goal were CHI 20, NSH 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Malcolm Subban stopped 36 of 39 (.923); Pekka Rinne stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Roman Josi (1 G), 2. Mikael Granlund (1 G, 1 A), 3. Yakov Trenin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. Josi1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    M. Granlund1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    Y. Trenin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CHICHI18170401220
NSHNSH0171811212339

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    D. Strome(2)PPG
    A. Shaw (2), D. Kubalik (3)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    1-0
    2:59

2nd period

  1. NSH
    Y. Trenin(1)
    M. Olivier (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    4:47
  2. CHI
    M. Janmark(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    11:43

3rd period

  1. NSH
    M. Granlund(2)
    N. Cousins (2), M. Ekholm (2)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +34 pts
    2-2
    11:06

Overtime

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(1)
    M. Granlund (1), E. Haula (2)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    1:57

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:12NSHMark Borowiecki · Slashingdrawn by Philipp Kurashev2 min

2nd

  • 2:18CHIDavid Kampf · Holdingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 14:10CHICarl Soderberg · Hookingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 15:25NSHLuke Kunin · Hookingdrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min

3rd

  • 8:30CHIIan Mitchell · Trippingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 11:46CHIAndrew Shaw · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCHI goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Roman Josi, OT 1:57 — NSH 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.26M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.16V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.13M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.12M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.11Y. Trenin · Goal · xG 0.11R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.11M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.10M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.09E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.09M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.08M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.07R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.07D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.05M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.04R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.04L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.03R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.02M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.02R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.00F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.00M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 2.7 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsNSH
1.22 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.01 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI22%78%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.23 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsNSH
20
Shots on goal
39
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
9
Hits
12
17
Blocked shots
10
6
Giveaways
9
10
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. MurphyD000020.05150—27:49
2D. KeithD000+120.05020—24:28
44C. de HaanD000-110.04230—22:11
88P. KaneR000-200.00000—20:59
17D. StromeC101-220.110105019:32
16N. ZadorovD000-200.00010—18:42
8D. KubalikL011-110.05000—18:36
13M. JanmarkC101+120.2500010018:32
24P. SuterC000020.160003115:39
46L. CarlssonD000010.02000—15:36
23P. KurashevC000000.00000014:48
64D. KampfC000010.061025313:54
22R. CarpenterC000010.06310012:50
34C. SoderbergC000010.001225012:03
65A. ShawR011-100.000025011:46
51I. MitchellD000-110.00022—11:43
38B. HagelL000020.28000—09:54
36M. HighmoreC000010.11100008:49
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Subban(O)39363.9232.73-0.2761:57

Season series

NSH leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).