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Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers

FinalTV NHLN, NBCSP·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexis Lafrenière's goal at 9:24 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 82% to 96%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.4, NYR 2.4; shots on goal were PHI 27, NYR 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.6 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alexandar Georgiev (26 saves, .963), 2. Alexis Lafrenière (1 G, 1 A), 3. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Georgiev26 saves, .963
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Lafrenière1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    P. Buchnevich1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI1709011127
NYRNYR2601028424

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(20)PPG
    A. Panarin (37), A. Fox (38)
    tip-inxG 0.23win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    6:02
  2. PHI
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:47
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    7:56

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    9:24
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.03win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    13:40

Penalties

PHI 9 PIM·NYR 9 PIM

1st

  • 5:11PHIKevin Hayes · Hookingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 17:32PHIIvan Provorov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 12:33PHIScott Laughton · Fightingdrawn by Kevin Rooney5 min
  • 12:33NYRKevin Rooney · Fightingdrawn by Scott Laughton5 min
  • 14:55NYRserved by F. Chytil · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:34NYRK'Andre Miller · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalPHI goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Alexis Lafrenière, 3rd 9:24 — NYR 82% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.30C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.23A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.19P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.18V. Kravtsov · Missed · xG 0.15B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.14K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.13A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.13C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.10F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.07R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.05R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.04A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.03F. Chytil · Goal · xG 0.03R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.03L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.02C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.01
NYR4 G · 2.4 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNYR
2.41 G
All situations
4 G2.4
2.01 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI51%49%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNYR
27
Shots on goal
24
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/2
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
19
Hits
26
11
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14S. CouturierC011-140.532007820:56
9I. ProvorovD000000.03032—20:53
61J. BraunD000-120.03210—20:52
53S. GostisbehereD000-110.24030—20:17
6T. SanheimD000020.11020—19:47
25J. van RiemsdykL000050.4700010018:48
93J. VoracekR011-210.05100—18:32
5P. MyersD000-100.00400—18:28
28C. GirouxR000-330.011005818:14
8R. HaggD000-100.15000—17:16
13K. HayesR000-110.023024415:32
57W. AllisonR000010.01010—14:13
23O. LindblomL101+110.13000—14:12
21S. LaughtonC000000.025156013:59
11T. KonecnyR000020.1800010013:08
86J. FarabeeL000000.00000—11:37
59J. CatesC000030.250006311:19
62N. Aube-KubelR000010.20100—09:06
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(L)24204.8332.35-1.6560:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).