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Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers

FinalTV ESPN+, NBCSP·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New York Rangers 3-2. The Rangers scored first; the Flyers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was James van Riemsdyk's goal at 10:29 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 56% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.9 to 3.0; shots on goal were PHI 36, NYR 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brian Elliott (33 saves, .943), 2. James van Riemsdyk (2 G), 3. Ivan Provorov (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    B. Elliott33 saves, .943
  2. ★★
    PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk2 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    I. Provorov2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI011114211336
NYRNYR114011110235

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    slapxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    9:55

2nd period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    15:56

3rd period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +25 pts
    2-1
    10:29
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    14:07
  3. NYR
    A. Fox (37), M. Zibanejad (24)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +6 pts
    3-2
    18:00

Penalties

PHI 6 PIM·NYR 12 PIM

1st

  • 7:50PHIPhilippe Myers · Slashingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min
  • 13:47NYRBrendan Smith · Interferencedrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 15:29PHIJakub Voracek · Trippingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

2nd

  • 7:12NYRChris Kreider · Holdingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min
  • 8:55PHITravis Konecny · Hookingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 11:45NYRBrendan Smith · Hookingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 15:43NYRAdam Fox · High stickingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 19:05NYRLibor Hajek · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Joel Farabee0 min

3rd

  • 8:14NYRK'Andre Miller · High sticking double minordrawn by Sean Couturier4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalPHI goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: James van Riemsdyk, 3rd 10:29 — PHI 56% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.34K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.17M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.14K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.14P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.14C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.12M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.12A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.10A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.09F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.09C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.08V. Kravtsov · On goal · xG 0.08B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.08R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.08C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.07C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.06C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.05R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.05B. Smith · Goal · xG 0.05F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hajek · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.01F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 3.0 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNYR
3.93 G
All situations
2 G3.0
2.31 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
1.42 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI64%36%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.80 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNYR
36
Shots on goal
35
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/6
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
12
19
Hits
12
10
Blocked shots
14
8
Giveaways
14
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14S. CouturierC011050.450105523:21
9I. ProvorovD022-150.57010—22:18
61J. BraunD000-100.00220—20:56
93J. VoracekR101010.23012—19:45
28C. GirouxR000060.630006019:10
6T. SanheimD000-130.07000—18:25
53S. GostisbehereD011+100.00010—17:47
8R. HaggD000-100.00210—17:38
86J. FarabeeL000040.78000—16:47
13K. HayesR011-120.160105315:27
5P. MyersD000020.07212—15:10
11T. KonecnyR011000.00112—14:20
57W. AllisonR000030.47200—14:19
21S. LaughtonC000000.004003612:55
25J. van RiemsdykL202050.40100—11:58
23O. LindblomL000000.01000—11:26
62N. Aube-KubelR000000.00500—11:26
19N. PatrickC000-100.100005710:54
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(W)35332.9433.01+1.0159:58

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).