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New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSN·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New York Rangers 4-3. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Hayes's goal at 14:37 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.5 to 3.2; shots on goal were NYR 27, PHI 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 35 of 39 (.897); Brian Elliott stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Claude Giroux (3 A), 2. Chris Kreider (3 G), 3. Shayne Gostisbehere (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Giroux3 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    C. Kreider3 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    S. Gostisbehere1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1911018327
PHIPHI215214010439

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    slapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    7:48
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    9:32
  3. PHI
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    15:31

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    4:05
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    8:03
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    14:37

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    3:27

Penalties

NYR 16 PIM·PHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:31NYRserved by A. Lafrenière · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 9:28PHISean Couturier · Holdingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 14:13NYRJonny Brodzinski · Slashingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 16:20PHINicolas Aube-Kubel · Holdingdrawn by Libor Hajek2 min

2nd

  • 2:54NYRBrendan Smith · Hookingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 4:11NYRJulien Gauthier · High stickingdrawn by Robert Hagg2 min
  • 4:33NYRPavel Buchnevich · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 7:31PHIConnor Bunnaman · Interferencedrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 15:37NYRRyan Lindgren · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:29PHICarsen Twarynski · Boardingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min

3rd

  • 9:15PHIJoel Farabee · Hookingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 14:22NYRAnthony Bitetto · Hookingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 19:51NYRserved by P. Buchnevich · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNYR goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Kevin Hayes, 2nd 14:37 — PHI 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.84K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.25C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.24C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.23M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.18J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.16J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.15S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.12S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.12N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.11K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.11C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.11I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.11K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.11S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.10C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.10J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.10J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.10N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.10C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.10S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.09S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.08J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.07J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.07C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.07C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.07C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.07M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.06J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.04E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · Goal · xG 0.02P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00S. Morin · On goal · xG 0.00E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 4.5 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsPHI
3.23 G
All situations
4 G4.5
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
1.02 G
Power play
2 G1.4
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR42%58%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.18 – 3.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsPHI
27
Shots on goal
39
36%
Faceoffs
64%
2/5
Power play
2/8
16
Penalty minutes
10
21
Hits
25
18
Blocked shots
10
10
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011+130.39030—23:29
93M. ZibanejadC022040.441001420:20
42B. SmithD000-140.15322—20:17
20C. KreiderL303-140.68310—19:32
16R. StromeC011-130.230205319:15
27J. JohnsonD000-100.00320—19:01
22A. BitettoD000-110.07212—18:15
89P. BuchnevichL000020.26002—18:09
17K. RooneyC000000.003104417:35
43C. BlackwellC011030.49000016:51
25L. HajekD000-100.00010—15:59
13A. LafrenièreL000-110.14000—14:56
55R. LindgrenD011+100.15202—14:45
21B. HowdenC000000.060204013:02
33P. Di GiuseppeL000010.01120—10:44
48B. LemieuxL000000.04000—10:19
76J. BrodzinskiC000000.00112009:41
12J. GauthierR000010.11202—07:04
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)39354.8973.70-0.3058:08

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).