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New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, MSG·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New York Rangers 2-1. The Rangers scored first; the Flyers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Samuel Morin's goal at 15:33 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.4, PHI 2.2; shots on goal were NYR 25, PHI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 35 of 37 (.946); Brian Elliott stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Samuel Morin (1 G), 2. Nolan Patrick (1 G), 3. Igor Shesterkin (35 saves, .946).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    S. Morin1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    N. Patrick1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin35 saves, .946

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR180908125
PHIPHI01711218237

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    R. Strome (20), A. Fox (24)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    10:54

2nd period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    12:52

3rd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.02win prob +38 pts
    1-2
    15:33

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·PHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 9:29PHITravis Konecny · Roughingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

2nd

  • 3:12NYRK'Andre Miller · Trippingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min
  • 5:48PHIMichael Raffl · Trippingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min
  • 10:12NYRChris Kreider · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
  • 10:55NYRKevin Rooney · Trippingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 18:06PHIPhilippe Myers · Roughingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min

3rd

  • 9:45PHIScott Laughton · Hookingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNYR goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Samuel Morin, 3rd 15:33 — PHI 52% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.17C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.16J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.15J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.14J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.13N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.11S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.10N. Patrick · Goal · xG 0.08N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.07K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.07J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.07J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.06N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.06S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.06N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.06I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.05P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.05S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.05I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03S. Morin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.02K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02S. Morin · Goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 2.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsPHI
2.41 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.20 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR54%46%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsPHI
25
Shots on goal
37
34%
Faceoffs
66%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
31
15
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011030.18140—25:28
93M. ZibanejadC101030.763302122:58
8J. TroubaD000020.16410—22:00
10A. PanarinL000030.32010—21:23
89P. BuchnevichL000-100.06220—20:20
16R. StromeC011020.050003819:48
79K. MillerD000010.01122—19:44
55R. LindgrenD000030.05200—19:38
20C. KreiderL000000.003126719:12
42B. SmithD000-100.03100—15:55
24K. KakkoR000020.10000—14:48
43C. BlackwellC000-120.43100011:59
72F. ChytilC000020.050004411:33
13A. LafrenièreL000000.05100—11:00
17K. RooneyC000-100.002022010:49
48B. LemieuxL000010.10400—10:29
25L. HajekD000-100.00010—09:44
12J. GauthierR000010.02300—08:42
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)37352.9462.17+0.1758:33

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).