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Avalanche at Blues
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
St. Louis Blues
2
FinalTV ALT, BSMW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the St. Louis Blues 4-2. The Blues scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Saad's goal at 19:28 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 31% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were COL 29, STL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Jordan Binnington stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Andre Burakovsky (2 G), 2. Jaden Schwartz (2 G), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    A. Burakovsky2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Schwartz2 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL1911129429
STLSTL1709111227

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    J. Schwartz(5)PPG
    T. Bozak (7), V. Dunn (14)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    3:18
  2. COL
    B. Saad(15)
    T. Jost (10)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:28

2nd period

  1. COL
    A. Burakovsky(13)PPG
    C. Makar (28), N. MacKinnon (37)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    6:45

3rd period

  1. COL
    A. Burakovsky(14)
    G. Landeskog (26), N. MacKinnon (38)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    11:29
  2. STL
    J. Schwartz(6)
    T. Bozak (8), V. Tarasenko (9)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    3-2
    13:43
  3. COL
    P. Bellemare(7)EN
    G. Landeskog (27), N. MacKinnon (39)
    wristxG 0.90win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    18:29

Penalties

COL 10 PIM·STL 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:41COLBrandon Saad · Holdingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 6:00STLJustin Faulk · High stickingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min

2nd

  • 0:27STLColton Parayko · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:07STLJustin Faulk · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 12:49STLVince Dunn · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:50COLserved by A. Burakovsky · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:04COLCarl Soderberg · Holdingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min

3rd

  • 4:45COLGabriel Landeskog · Hookingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 6:19STLJaden Schwartz · Slashingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
  • 8:45COLSamuel Girard · Holdingdrawn by David Perron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCOL goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Brandon Saad, 1st 19:28 — COL 31% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.31J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.20Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.17J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.15D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.14J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.13D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.09T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.09T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.09M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.04D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.3 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSTL
3.73 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.22 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
1.21 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.50 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL58%42%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 2.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSTL
29
Shots on goal
27
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/5
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
10
12
Hits
16
27
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD000+100.00220—24:37
8C. MakarD011-120.22010—22:38
24P. NemethD000+200.00160—21:06
49S. GirardD000+110.07042—20:17
29N. MacKinnonC033+250.381005419:41
92G. LandeskogL022+220.471023318:44
13V. NichushkinR000+110.07020—17:59
37J. CompherL000-100.000104017:54
95A. BurakovskyL202+130.25120—17:17
27R. GravesD000010.02140—17:05
34C. SoderbergC000040.602125015:28
17T. JostC011+110.031003314:42
41P. BellemareL101010.940306314:14
91N. KadriC000040.250002514:08
20B. SaadL101+120.3500210013:02
22C. TimminsD000+110.04000—08:01
61M. KautR000000.00000—07:57
38L. O'BrienC000-110.01210005:33
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(W)27252.9262.35+0.3560:00

Season series

COL leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).