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Avalanche at Blues
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
1
St. Louis Blues
▸4
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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Schenn's goal at 13:34 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were COL 32, STL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 2.1 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. David Perron (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jordan Binnington (31 saves, .969), 3. Brayden Schenn (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    D. Perron1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington31 saves, .969
  3. ★★★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL07115010132
STLSTL2521203420

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    V. Tarasenko(4)PPG
    T. Krug (25), M. Hoffman (15)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    9:25
  2. STL
    B. Schenn(13)
    R. O'Reilly (24), D. Perron (30)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:34

2nd period

  1. STL
    D. Perron(14)
    J. Faulk (11), R. O'Reilly (25)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    7:02
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(19)PPG
    G. Landeskog (28), A. Burakovsky (18)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    8:24
  3. STL
    R. Thomas(2)
    D. Perron (31), M. Scandella (4)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    10:53

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 9:17COLPatrik Nemeth · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 18:52STLMike Hoffman · High stickingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min

2nd

  • 7:22STLJake Walman · Holdingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min

3rd

  • 2:19STLRobert Bortuzzo · Slashingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min
  • 5:04COLMartin Kaut · Trippingdrawn by Jake Walman2 min
  • 18:43STLJake Walman · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCOL goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Schenn, 1st 13:34 — STL 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.21I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.16R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.15B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.13R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.13I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.11D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.10T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.08T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.07D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.06S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.02S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.01S. Santini · Missed · xG 0.01
STL4 G · 1.9 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSTL
2.81 G
All situations
4 G1.9
1.90 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL66%34%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 1.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSTL
32
Shots on goal
20
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
36
Hits
28
4
Blocked shots
22
21
Giveaways
17
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000-330.19110—25:10
49S. GirardD000-200.01100—22:15
92G. LandeskogL011-320.462106421:38
95A. BurakovskyL011-310.20200—20:46
29N. MacKinnonC101-360.420005020:40
7D. ToewsD000020.07210—20:39
37J. CompherL000000.005006018:59
27R. GravesD000-110.01100—17:39
91N. KadriC000020.081005715:26
24P. NemethD000000.03402—15:22
13V. NichushkinR000020.12100—15:02
17T. JostC000020.043003814:58
34C. SoderbergC000020.2210010013:30
61M. KautR000010.04202—13:11
22C. TimminsD000000.00200—12:47
41P. BellemareL000030.161002511:15
44K. SherwoodL000040.71410—09:33
38L. O'BrienC000010.01300009:02
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Johansson(L)20164.8001.87-2.1360:00

Season series

COL leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).