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New York Islanders at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NHLN, MSG+·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the New York Islanders 3-0. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Pastrnak's goal at 19:57 of the first period, which took the Bruins' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were NYI 25, BOS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Jeremy Swayman stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jeremy Swayman (25 saves, 1.000), 2. Taylor Hall (1 G), 3. Mike Reilly (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    J. Swayman25 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    BOS
    T. Hall1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    M. Reilly1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0100609025
BOSBOS1811218328

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    19:57

2nd period

  1. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:47

3rd period

  1. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.49win prob +1 pts
    0-3
    18:48

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·BOS 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:59NYIMathew Barzal · High stickingdrawn by David Krejci2 min
  • 15:28BOSSean Kuraly · Slashingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min

2nd

  • 11:09NYIJordan Eberle · Elbowingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 13:24BOSNick Ritchie · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
  • 15:45NYIMatt Martin · Trippingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 19:07BOSSean Kuraly · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 3:10BOSBrad Marchand · Slashingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min
  • 9:55BOSSean Kuraly · Boardingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalNYI goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: David Pastrnak, 1st 19:57 — BOS 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Lazar · Goal · xG 0.49P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.25D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.20C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.13D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.13C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.11D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.10T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.09D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.09B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.09C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.08B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.08M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.07S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.06P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.04C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.04M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.03C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03J. Zboril · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.02C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zboril · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kampfer · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.01
BOS3 G · 2.5 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsBOS
2.00 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.20 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI50%50%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsBOS
25
Shots on goal
28
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/5
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
32
Hits
26
11
Blocked shots
9
12
Giveaways
3
12
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD000-210.02120—22:13
2N. LeddyD000030.05220—21:05
3A. PelechD000-110.01100—20:45
29B. NelsonC000-350.821007119:52
24S. MayfieldD000-200.02120—19:08
13M. BarzalC000-100.00002018:56
44J. PageauC000000.002205618:28
7J. EberleR000-110.08202—18:15
4A. GreeneD000-110.04020—17:10
18A. BeauvillierR000-150.40200—15:54
21K. PalmieriC000-120.25200015:24
26O. WahlstromR000-220.17100—14:32
8N. DobsonD000000.01100—14:11
14T. ZajacC000010.051004413:47
47L. KomarovR000000.00200—12:24
53C. CizikasC000000.002002712:14
17M. MartinL000020.01712—10:32
28M. Dal ColleL000-110.09400—09:46
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)27252.9261.96-0.0459:24

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).