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Boston Bruins at New York Islanders

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Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Boston Bruins 7-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 5:41 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.3 to 3.0; shots on goal were BOS 36, NYI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 30 of 37 (.811), 3.7 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Lee (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mathew Barzal (1 G, 1 A), 3. Semyon Varlamov (34 saves, .944).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov34 saves, .944

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS11511308236
NYINYI21009518737

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.23win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:02
  2. NYI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:16
  3. NYI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    12:39

2nd period

  1. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.01win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    11:36

3rd period

  1. NYI
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +27 pts
    2-3
    5:41
  2. NYI
    M. Barzal (10), A. Lee (4)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +13 pts
    2-4
    10:45
  3. NYI
    J. Pageau(8)SHG
    wristxG 0.23win prob +5 pts
    2-5
    12:24
  4. NYI
    wristxG 0.15
    2-6
    14:44
  5. NYI
    wristxG 0.11
    2-7
    16:33

Penalties

BOS 14 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

2nd

  • 1:01NYIAnthony Beauvillier · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 9:11BOSCraig Smith · Hookingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min

3rd

  • 12:04NYICasey Cizikas · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:53BOSTrent Frederic · Cross checkingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 17:53BOSTrent Frederic · Game misconductdrawn by Anders Lee10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalBOS goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, 3rd 5:41 — NYI 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.37J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.29J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.23A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.20A. Pelech · Goal · xG 0.17J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.15L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.14J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.12A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.12O. Wahlstrom · Goal · xG 0.11M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.11M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.07O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.06R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.06N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.05C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.04L. Komarov · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.03O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.03A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI7 G · 3.3 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsNYI
3.02 G
All situations
7 G3.3
2.72 G
Even strength
6 G2.7
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS46%54%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 3.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsNYI
36
Shots on goal
37
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
0/2
14
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
26
16
Blocked shots
8
6
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27J. MooreD000-220.06020—20:42
25B. CarloD000-120.02320—20:41
73C. McAvoyD000-220.14110—19:36
58U. VaakanainenD011-130.12110—19:17
67J. ZborilD011-100.00110—19:17
13C. CoyleC011-120.224103818:42
88D. PastrnakR000-250.11010—18:03
37P. BergeronC000-240.562106117:30
63B. MarchandL000-210.02010—17:05
21N. RitchieL101-130.49100—16:36
74J. DeBruskL011-130.33000—16:35
75C. CliftonD000-200.00120—16:14
12C. SmithC101+120.24012014:26
52S. KuralyC000-320.111107514:07
10A. BjorkL000-100.00700—12:33
14C. WagnerR000-310.06010—12:20
23J. StudnickaC000+110.310006012:05
11T. FredericC000-230.262012010:23
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(L)37307.8113.30-3.7059:48

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).