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Boston Bruins at New York Islanders

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Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Boston Bruins 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 5:30 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 56% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were BOS 30, NYI 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 38 of 42 (.905); Semyon Varlamov stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (2 G), 2. Jordan Eberle (1 G, 1 A), 3. Leo Komarov (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    J. Pageau2 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Eberle1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    L. Komarov2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS1719014230
NYINYI215015212442

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:41
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    11:36
  3. NYI
    slapxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:16

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.08win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    16:51

3rd period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(6)PPG
    A. Lee (3), J. Eberle (3)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +23 pts
    2-3
    5:30
  2. NYI
    J. Pageau(4)SHG
    wristxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    14:32

Penalties

BOS 2 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

2nd

  • 7:47NYIAdam Pelech · Cross checkingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

3rd

  • 4:09BOSDavid Pastrnak · Hookingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 13:37NYIJordan Eberle · High stickingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalBOS goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Mathew Barzal, 3rd 5:30 — NYI 56% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.25C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.21B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.20J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.20J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.19J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.17A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.16B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.14M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.14J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.13O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.12B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.11M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.09O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.09R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.08J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.07C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.07M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.06N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.05S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.04O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.01A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.01O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.00L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.00O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI4 G · 3.7 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsNYI
2.42 G
All situations
4 G3.7
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G3.0
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS30%70%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 3.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsNYI
30
Shots on goal
42
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
36
12
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000030.29330—25:49
27J. MooreD000020.05200—23:45
55J. LauzonD000020.09300—21:22
25B. CarloD000+100.02130—20:17
21N. RitchieL000-140.56310—19:44
88D. PastrnakR022010.14112—19:20
63B. MarchandL112040.34010—18:06
46D. KrejciC000-110.010008917:47
37P. BergeronC112020.080007917:03
12C. SmithC000020.2210010017:02
52S. KuralyC000030.141105016:46
86K. MillerD000-100.01200—16:32
13C. CoyleC000-110.061003814:38
14C. WagnerR000000.002003313:40
11T. FredericC000000.00300012:56
74J. DeBruskL000-130.16310—12:37
10A. BjorkL000-120.20010—08:16
67J. ZborilD000000.00100—05:48
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(L)42384.9053.71-0.2957:11

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).