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New York Islanders at Boston Bruins

FinalTV MSG+, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the New York Islanders 4-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Taylor Hall's goal at 1:52 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 76% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.8 to 1.1; shots on goal were NYI 23, BOS 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 41 of 44 (.932); Tuukka Rask stopped 22 of 23 (.957). Three stars: 1. Brad Marchand (2 G), 2. Tuukka Rask (22 saves, .957), 3. Taylor Hall (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    B. Marchand2 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    T. Rask22 saves, .957
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    T. Hall1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0711105123
BOSBOS223012210445

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.38win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:49
  2. BOS
    C. Smith(10)PPG
    D. Krejci (22), C. McAvoy (19)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    17:55

2nd period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal (25), J. Eberle (14)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    2:56

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    1:52
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.68win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    18:24

Penalties

NYI 10 PIM·BOS 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:07NYIScott Mayfield · Cross checkingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 8:59NYIJosh Bailey · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Zboril2 min
  • 13:45BOSCharlie Coyle · Trippingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 14:49NYIBrock Nelson · High sticking double minordrawn by Mike Reilly4 min

2nd

  • 9:54BOSDavid Krejci · Hookingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min
  • 15:25NYICal Clutterbuck · High stickingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min

3rd

  • 18:41BOSJakub Zboril · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalNYI goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Taylor Hall, 3rd 1:52 — BOS 76% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.68B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.38N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.19D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.14D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.14J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.14C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.13J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.12C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.12C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.11T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.10J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.10C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.08J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.08B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.08J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.06N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.05C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.05C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.04C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.04M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.03J. Zboril · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.03D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.03P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.03M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.01C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.01
BOS4 G · 3.8 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsBOS
1.11 G
All situations
3 G3.8
0.91 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI16%84%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.13 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsBOS
23
Shots on goal
45
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
34
Hits
23
19
Blocked shots
7
13
Giveaways
11
10
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD000020.11130—22:53
13M. BarzalC011-120.18100021:42
6R. PulockD000-330.05330—21:23
3A. PelechD000-200.00630—20:05
7J. EberleR011-110.12000—18:09
24S. MayfieldD000030.05422—17:46
29B. NelsonC000-110.181044217:31
18A. BeauvillierR000010.08100—17:24
14T. ZajacC101010.022005516:55
44J. PageauC000-110.023206216:50
8N. DobsonD000+130.06210—16:49
4A. GreeneD000000.01020—16:46
26O. WahlstromR000-220.0820010014:20
21K. PalmieriC000-130.17000013:19
53C. CizikasC000000.003104512:39
15C. ClutterbuckR000000.00322—11:49
17M. MartinL000000.00100—08:53
12J. BaileyR000000.00102—06:41
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(L)44413.9323.12+0.1259:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).