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Panthers at Stars
NHL

Florida Panthers at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
1
Dallas Stars
▸4
FinalTV NHLN, BSSW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Florida Panthers 4-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel L'Esperance's goal at 1:49 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 65% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were FLA 21, DAL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 2.1 goals below expected; Anton Khudobin stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Robertson (2 G), 2. Roope Hintz (2 A), 3. Anton Khudobin (20 saves, .952).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Robertson2 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    A. Khudobin20 saves, .952

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA071806121
DALDAL390813420

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(10)
    R. Hintz (17), J. Pavelski (21)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:00
  2. DAL
    J. L'Esperance(2)
    J. Dowling (4)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    1:49
  3. DAL
    J. Benn(8)PPG
    J. Pavelski (22), R. Hintz (18)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    9:03

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(17)PPG
    P. Hornqvist (16)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:58

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(11)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.16win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    1:21

Penalties

FLA 6 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:41FLARadko Gudas · Boardingdrawn by Rhett Gardner2 min
  • 18:48DALBlake Comeau · Trippingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min

2nd

  • 2:35FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Holding the stickdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
  • 7:39DALTanner Kero · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 16:43FLARyan Lomberg · Boardingdrawn by Tanner Kero2 min
  • 19:42DALMark Pysyk · Interferencedrawn by Mason Marchment2 min

3rd

  • 9:57DALBlake Comeau · Cross checkingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalFLA goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Joel L'Esperance, 1st 1:49 — DAL 65% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.18J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.17J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.16R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.12R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.11J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.08J. Dowling · Missed · xG 0.08R. Gardner · Missed · xG 0.07J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.07J. L'Esperance · Missed · xG 0.07A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.07J. L'Esperance · Goal · xG 0.06M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.06J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.05J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.05E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.05J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gardner · On goal · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.00B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gardner · On goal · xG 0.00R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 1.9 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsDAL
2.51 G
All situations
4 G1.9
1.60 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.91 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA61%39%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 1.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsDAL
21
Shots on goal
20
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
26
Hits
34
7
Blocked shots
28
10
Giveaways
6
3
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16A. BarkovC101040.641005422:52
19M. MarchmentL000-110.23400—21:42
23C. VerhaegheC000040.37100020:41
70P. HornqvistR011-200.14310—19:08
42G. ForslingD000-140.05000—18:54
21A. WennbergC000-210.191003818:13
6A. StralmanD000000.00110—17:38
52M. WeegarD000-110.17212—17:22
11J. HuberdeauL000-220.45100—16:19
7R. GudasD000-200.01312—16:16
77F. VatranoR000020.08100—16:06
3K. YandleD000000.03000—15:55
8M. KierstedD000-110.02010—14:50
44K. ConnautonD000-100.00100—13:21
83J. LammikkoC000-100.000004312:46
94R. LombergL000000.09512—12:09
55N. AcciariC000000.000104011:02
27E. LuostarinenC000-110.00200010:47
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)20164.8001.88-2.1259:37

Season series

FLA leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).