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Stars at Panthers
NHL

Dallas Stars at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
1
Florida Panthers
▸3
FinalTV FS-F, FS-SW·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Dallas Stars 3-1. The Stars scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aaron Ekblad's goal at 8:41 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 35% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.1 to 1.2; shots on goal were DAL 25, FLA 52. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 49 of 51 (.961), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Chris Driedger stopped 24 of 25 (.960). Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (1 G), 2. Anton Khudobin (49 saves, .961), 3. Aaron Ekblad (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    A. Khudobin49 saves, .961
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL11004011125
FLAFLA011229112352

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    B. Comeau(1)
    J. Robertson (4)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:29

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Ekblad(6)
    M. Weegar (7), J. Huberdeau (16)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    8:41
  2. FLA
    K. Yandle(3)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    18:18

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(7)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.34win prob +2 pts
    1-3
    19:32

Penalties

DAL 11 PIM·FLA 7 PIM

1st

  • 5:05DALJason Robertson · Slashingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 7:56FLAEetu Luostarinen · Trippingdrawn by Denis Gurianov2 min

2nd

  • 5:18DALMark Pysyk · Interferencedrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 10:44DALJamie Oleksiak · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 16:17DALJohn Klingberg · Fightingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist5 min
  • 16:17FLAPatric Hornqvist · Fightingdrawn by John Klingberg5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalDAL goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Aaron Ekblad, 2nd 8:41 — FLA 35% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.39A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.34A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.16P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.16P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.15A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.13P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.12A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.11A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.11E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.11P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.11P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.10A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.10F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.09R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.08G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.08P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.08B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.07B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.07A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.07J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.07J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.06V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.06P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.04B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.03A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · Goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 4.1 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsFLA
1.21 G
All situations
2 G4.1
1.11 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.10 G
Power play
0 G1.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL12%88%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.22 – 3.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsFLA
25
Shots on goal
52
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
7
32
Hits
24
17
Blocked shots
6
4
Giveaways
6
1
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000-320.09310—24:09
23E. LindellD000-130.08430—22:47
2J. OleksiakD000020.04232—20:46
3J. KlingbergD000-110.04205—20:25
24R. HintzC000-130.061004319:12
34D. GurianovR000-210.13110—19:01
5A. SekeraD000000.00310—17:01
16J. PavelskiC000020.193104316:54
14J. BennL000010.0714010016:51
18J. DickinsonC000000.001001716:44
15B. ComeauL101-120.15400—14:45
13M. PysykD000+100.03112—14:32
11A. CoglianoC000-110.01120014:24
21J. RobertsonL011-120.0600210013:57
12R. FaksaC000-120.102005813:47
64T. KeroC000030.1820010010:59
10T. DellandreaC000000.000002510:34
25J. KivirantaL000000.00100—09:14
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(L)51492.9613.80+1.8057:58

Season series

FLA leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).