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Stars at Panthers
NHL

Dallas Stars at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
4
Florida Panthers
▸5
Final/OTTV BSSW+, BSFL·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Dallas Stars 5-4 in overtime, Aleksander Barkov scoring at 2:50. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aleksander Barkov's goal at 2:50 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were DAL 29, FLA 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Spencer Knight stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Owen Tippett (2 A), 3. Tyler Seguin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    O. Tippett2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    T. Seguin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL2120102700429
FLAFLA3141130917543

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    J. Huberdeau(19)
    O. Tippett (9), K. Yandle (22)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:53
  2. FLA
    N. Gusev(4)
    B. Montour (11)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    2:42
  3. DAL
    J. Pavelski(22)PPG
    R. Hintz (25), J. Robertson (26)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    12:04
  4. FLA
    M. Weegar(5)
    O. Tippett (10), G. Denisenko (3)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    14:13
  5. DAL
    J. Robertson(16)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    17:16

2nd period

  1. FLA
    G. Forsling(5)
    G. Denisenko (4), A. Barkov (30)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    0:45

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Kiviranta(4)
    T. Kero (6), J. Oleksiak (8)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    3:55
  2. DAL
    T. Seguin(1)
    D. Gurianov (17), J. Klingberg (26)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +26 pts
    4-4
    4:06

Overtime

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(26)PPG
    K. Yandle (23), M. Weegar (29)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    2:50

Penalties

DAL 23 PIM·FLA 9 PIM

1st

  • 3:36FLARadko Gudas · Fightingdrawn by Blake Comeau5 min
  • 3:36DALBlake Comeau · Instigatordrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 3:36DALBlake Comeau · Fightingdrawn by Radko Gudas5 min
  • 3:36DALBlake Comeau · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 11:21FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 17:56DALRadek Faksa · Slashingdrawn by Keith Yandle2 min

2nd

  • 11:29FLAAnthony Duclair · Hookingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 19:08DALJamie Benn · High stickingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min

OT

  • 2:21DALJoe Pavelski · Hookingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalDAL goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Aleksander Barkov, OT 2:50 — FLA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.28A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.22J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.19G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.19A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.16A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.15R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.15A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.14N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.14A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.12O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.12A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.11R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.11A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Weegar · Goal · xG 0.11G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.11J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.10N. Gusev · Goal · xG 0.09A. Heponiemi · Missed · xG 0.09A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.09A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.08A. Heponiemi · On goal · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.06N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.05R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.05K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.05B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.04G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.04M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.04G. Forsling · Goal · xG 0.03G. Denisenko · Missed · xG 0.03M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.02N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.02N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.00N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA5 G · 3.7 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsFLA
1.84 G
All situations
5 G3.7
1.53 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL20%80%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 3.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsFLA
29
Shots on goal
43
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
1/4
23
Penalty minutes
9
33
Hits
23
9
Blocked shots
17
12
Giveaways
14
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD000030.10410—26:11
4M. HeiskanenD000020.03100—23:17
2J. OleksiakD011000.00710—22:06
3J. KlingbergD011000.00210—20:33
14J. BennL000-210.011025819:03
11A. CoglianoC000010.04210018:57
24R. HintzC011+110.112005018:42
12R. FaksaC000000.200023818:15
21J. RobertsonL112+130.18110—17:43
5A. SekeraD000-100.01200—17:17
91T. SeguinC101030.232103617:09
16J. PavelskiC101060.551026716:23
15B. ComeauL000010.02201710015:06
25J. KivirantaL101-240.22120—12:22
45S. VatanenD000-110.01010—12:04
34D. GurianovR011-120.03300—11:40
49R. GardnerC000010.02100008:22
64T. KeroC011000.00100007:48
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(O)28271.9642.50+1.5042:05
35A. Khudobin15114.7331.23-2.7720:45

Season series

FLA leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).