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Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers

FinalTV ESPN+, ATTSN-PT·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New York Rangers 5-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evan Rodrigues's goal at 11:28 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were PIT 32, NYR 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Radim Zohorna (1 G, 1 A), 2. Evan Rodrigues (1 G, 1 A), 3. Kris Letang (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    R. Zohorna1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    E. Rodrigues1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    K. Letang1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT11326213532
NYRNYR0511019224

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:26

2nd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    2:02
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    3:23
  3. PIT
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    11:28

3rd period

  1. PIT
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +4 pts
    4-1
    10:29
  2. NYR
    A. Fox (32)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
    4-2
    13:48
  3. PIT
    wristxG 0.81win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    18:29

Penalties

PIT 15 PIM·NYR 15 PIM

1st

  • 7:21NYRJacob Trouba · Slashingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 17:18PITMike Matheson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 0:17PITJake Guentzel · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 5:24PITJason Zucker · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 11:18NYRBrendan Smith · Roughingdrawn by Sam Lafferty2 min
  • 11:18PITSam Lafferty · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 11:18NYRBrendan Smith · Roughingdrawn by Sam Lafferty2 min
  • 16:14NYRBrendan Smith · Fightingdrawn by Sam Lafferty5 min
  • 16:14PITSam Lafferty · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Smith5 min
  • 17:59PITCody Ceci · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Chris Kreider0 min

3rd

  • 5:55NYRAdam Fox · Slashingdrawn by Radim Zohorna2 min
  • 6:41PITSidney Crosby · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Igor Shesterkin2 min
  • 15:07NYRMika Zibanejad · High stickingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalPIT goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Evan Rodrigues, 2nd 11:28 — PIT 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.40M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.18C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.16C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.16C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.14P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.14C. Blackwell · Goal · xG 0.14F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.12K. Rooney · Goal · xG 0.12M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.11V. Kravtsov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.08R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.08K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.06A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.05C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.05A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.04C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 2.5 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNYR
4.04 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.43 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.81 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT60%40%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.06 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNYR
32
Shots on goal
24
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/4
Power play
1/4
15
Penalty minutes
15
22
Hits
19
9
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD112+220.11110—24:40
8B. DumoulinD011+220.06210—20:35
59J. GuentzelC011+110.121025020:31
6J. MarinoD000030.11110—19:42
17B. RustR000+100.06000—19:08
87S. CrosbyC000+140.372125318:59
5M. MathesonD000030.24002—18:56
4C. CeciD011+100.00200—18:28
11F. GaudreauC000+100.001009216:02
12Z. Aston-ReeseL011+120.44210—15:31
28M. PetterssonD011+100.00210—14:57
19J. McCannL000020.140004014:53
16J. ZuckerL112010.09102—14:35
9E. RodriguesC112030.312007513:09
7C. SceviourC000+110.02210012:39
14M. JankowskiL101+221.072205011:50
67R. ZohornaL112+130.500005009:47
18S. LaffertyC000030.35107008:30
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)24222.9172.53+0.5359:18

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).