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Rangers at Penguins
NHL

New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
2
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸3
FinalTV ESPN+, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New York Rangers 3-2. The Rangers scored first; the Penguins answered. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 18:29 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 52% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYR 26, PIT 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.4 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Guentzel (1 G), 2. Bryan Rust (1 G), 3. Colin Blackwell (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    B. Rust1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    C. Blackwell1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR181909226
PITPIT061924319

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    C. Blackwell(1)
    A. Fox (4), B. Howden (1)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    16:36

2nd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(2)
    S. Crosby (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    11:24
  2. NYR
    R. Strome(1)
    J. Trouba (1), A. Panarin (4)
    tip-inxG 0.37win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    17:17

3rd period

  1. PIT
    J. McCann(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +25 pts
    2-2
    2:26
  2. PIT
    J. Guentzel(2)
    K. Letang (3), S. Crosby (4)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +42 pts
    2-3
    18:29

Penalties

NYR 0 PIM·PIT 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:10PITChad Ruhwedel · Interferencedrawn by Filip Chytil2 min

3rd

  • 6:56PITCody Ceci · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNYR goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Jake Guentzel, 3rd 18:29 — PIT 52% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.46S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.21E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.20T. Blueger · Missed · xG 0.17E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.14B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.14B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.09B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.06J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.05J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.02P. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.02S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02C. Ruhwedel · Missed · xG 0.01P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.00J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.00
PIT3 G · 2.2 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsPIT
3.02 G
All situations
3 G2.2
2.62 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR75%25%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.86 – 1.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsPIT
26
Shots on goal
19
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
4
32
Hits
33
14
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011+110.07040—25:42
79K. MillerD000000.02100—21:39
10A. PanarinL011010.34000—21:31
55R. LindgrenD000+100.01410—21:20
8J. TroubaD011010.10510—20:47
89P. BuchnevichL000-130.360103319:44
93M. ZibanejadC000020.523004119:30
13A. LafrenièreL000010.31210—18:49
16R. StromeC101-140.432006718:05
20C. KreiderL000-100.173103317:28
77T. DeAngeloD000-220.10000—15:49
24K. KakkoR000-110.04000—15:24
21B. HowdenC011010.014005814:16
33P. Di GiuseppeL000-110.02330—13:01
42B. SmithD000-220.04300—11:18
17K. RooneyC000+120.07210009:36
43C. BlackwellC101+120.34000008:59
72F. ChytilC000020.020105008:23
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)19163.8421.55-1.4558:39

Season series

PIT leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).