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Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers

FinalTV NBCSN, ATTSN-PT·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-1. The Penguins scored first; the Rangers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 11:10 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 59% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were PIT 26, NYR 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 21 of 23 (.913); Igor Shesterkin stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (25 saves, .962), 2. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 2 A), 3. Adam Fox (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin25 saves, .962
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Fox1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT1120509126
NYRNYR091629324

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.34win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:05

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.15win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    17:42

3rd period

  1. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +25 pts
    1-2
    11:10
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.57win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:59

Penalties

PIT 13 PIM·NYR 17 PIM

1st

  • 2:52PITJake Guentzel · Slashingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 12:23NYRJonny Brodzinski · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 18:49NYRJacob Trouba · Slashingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 20:00NYRBrett Howden · Fightingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen5 min
  • 20:00PITKasperi Kapanen · Fightingdrawn by Brett Howden5 min

2nd

  • 2:34PITSam Lafferty · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 5:36NYRAnthony Bitetto · Interferencedrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 13:38NYRK'Andre Miller · Trippingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 19:03NYRRyan Lindgren · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

3rd

  • 3:49PITChad Ruhwedel · Slashingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 10:57PITChad Ruhwedel · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:25NYRJulien Gauthier · Holdingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalPIT goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 3rd 11:10 — NYR 59% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.57K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.23M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.22C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.17R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.16K. Rooney · Goal · xG 0.15A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.12C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.11C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.11P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.09P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.09K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.07B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.07K. Rooney · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.06R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.03C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 2.9 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNYR
2.41 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.71 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.80 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT53%47%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNYR
26
Shots on goal
24
71%
Faceoffs
29%
0/6
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
17
25
Hits
26
13
Blocked shots
20
8
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. MarinoD000+110.01210—30:30
73P. JosephD000-140.06120—26:14
87S. CrosbyC000-210.641007025:03
71E. MalkinC011020.170107523:32
59J. GuentzelC000-230.18202022:24
17B. RustR000-220.17100—22:16
16J. ZuckerL101030.43210—17:30
42K. KapanenR000+100.00005—16:56
2C. RuhwedelD011+110.03304—15:32
4C. CeciD000010.02230—14:34
19J. McCannL000020.391106712:38
53T. BluegerC000010.111107011:24
27K. CzuczmanD000-110.06010—10:37
3Y. WeberD000-100.00100—10:36
13B. TanevL000020.10320—10:08
10D. O'ConnorL000010.01200—08:55
14M. JankowskiL000010.001006708:41
18S. LaffertyC000000.0420210006:31
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(L)23212.9132.29+0.2958:03

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).