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Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers

FinalTV NBCSN, ATTSN-PT·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 8-4. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mika Zibanejad's goal at 7:28 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.9 to 3.0; shots on goal were PIT 45, NYR 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 10 of 14 (.714), 1.9 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 41 of 45 (.911). Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 3 A), 2. Adam Fox (1 G, 2 A), 3. Mika Zibanejad (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Fox1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT118113214445
NYRNYR4111737825

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:35
  2. NYR
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:28
  3. NYR
    A. Panarin(12)PPG
    A. Fox (30), C. Kreider (9)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    9:58
  4. PIT
    J. McCann(10)PPG
    K. Letang (23), S. Crosby (29)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    10:38
  5. NYR
    R. Strome(12)PPG
    A. Panarin (27), A. Fox (31)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    19:42

2nd period

  1. NYR
    deflectedxG 0.35win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    12:20
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.06win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    12:36

3rd period

  1. NYR
    K. Kakko(6)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    6:10
  2. PIT
    slapxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    8:04
  3. NYR
    A. Fox(5)SHG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +1 pts
    3-7
    10:22
  4. NYR
    wristxG 0.14
    3-8
    10:41
  5. PIT
    wristxG 0.17
    4-8
    18:36

Penalties

PIT 10 PIM·NYR 10 PIM

1st

  • 9:13PITRadim Zohorna · Hookingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 10:32NYRRyan Lindgren · Holdingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 11:22NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Roughingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 11:22PITMike Matheson · Roughingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 19:34PITBrian Dumoulin · Holdingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

2nd

  • 3:57NYRRyan Lindgren · High stickingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min

3rd

  • 4:29PITJake Guentzel · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 8:24NYRPavel Buchnevich · Trippingdrawn by John Marino2 min
  • 12:59PITZachary Aston-Reese · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 12:59NYRJacob Trouba · Roughingdrawn by Zachary Aston-Reese2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalPIT goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Mika Zibanejad, 1st 7:28 — NYR 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.35M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.26M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.17P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.15P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.14M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.13A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.13C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.13P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.12P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.12P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.12F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.11P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.10K. Kakko · Goal · xG 0.10A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.08A. Fox · Goal · xG 0.06R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.06C. Blackwell · Goal · xG 0.06B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.05R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.05R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.04R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.03B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01I. Shesterkin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01
NYR8 G · 3.0 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNYR
3.94 G
All situations
8 G3.0
3.23 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.71 G
Power play
3 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT64%36%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.86 – 2.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNYR
45
Shots on goal
25
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/3
Power play
3/3
10
Penalty minutes
10
18
Hits
26
8
Blocked shots
15
6
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD022-140.26300—23:35
5M. MathesonD112040.17202—21:38
4C. CeciD000+130.03030—20:14
87S. CrosbyC011040.290007019:35
8B. DumoulinD101-110.17112—18:51
59J. GuentzelC101020.43102018:21
17B. RustR000040.40000—18:20
28M. PetterssonD000-200.00010—17:38
19J. McCannL101-140.561007116:33
6J. MarinoD000-130.05000—15:52
16J. ZuckerL000-220.02200—15:46
9E. RodriguesC000-240.620005015:27
11F. GaudreauC000-210.000105313:40
12Z. Aston-ReeseL000-230.51202—13:18
7C. SceviourC011+220.24120011:57
67R. ZohornaL011+110.1030210011:01
18S. LaffertyC000-230.07200010:58
14M. JankowskiL022+200.000005010:42
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(L)14104.7142.10-1.9040:00
35T. Jarry1174.6360.95-3.0520:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).